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NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
23.08.2026 14:45
Seacon - De Koel
Referee: Martijn Vos, Netherlands
VVV Venlo
Match Timeline
De Graafschap
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
J. Kania · Assist: T. Mero
De Graafschap
🟨
11'
Nart Ahmeti
De Graafschap
🟨
28'
Luis Görlich
VVV Venlo
⚽
42'
N. Ait Mouhou · Assist: L. de Blok
VVV Venlo
🟨
45+1'
Kaya Symons
De Graafschap
⚽
45'
R. Vullers
VVV Venlo
🔄
46'
D. Eijken ↔ T. Grotenhuis
De Graafschap
🔄
58'
N. Ahmeti ↔ T. Braem
De Graafschap
🔄
58'
B. van Zijl ↔ G. Finocchiaro
De Graafschap
🔄
62'
N. Ait Mouhou ↔ T. Janssen
VVV Venlo
🔄
75'
M. Odriss ↔ T. Joosten
VVV Venlo
🔄
75'
E. Clancy ↔ D. Hendrix
VVV Venlo
🔄
78'
J. Meerstadt ↔ M. Smits
De Graafschap
🔄
85'
E. Zuliani ↔ Y. el Anbri
VVV Venlo
🔄
86'
K. Symons ↔ G. Bolk
De Graafschap

VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 75.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
75.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
76.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
VVV Venlo Win 54.6%
Draw 20.7%
De Graafschap Win 24.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
VVV Venlo2.71
De Graafschap2.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
VVV Venlo VVV Venlo
WWDLW
21 GF / 24 GA
De Graafschap De Graafschap
WLDWL
16 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
2.1
Average Goals Scored
2
2.4
Average Goals Conceded
3.63
8
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
7
3.5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VVV Venlo VVV Venlo 10 matches
De Graafschap De Graafschap 8 matches
VVV Venlo Statistic De Graafschap
4 Wins 2
1 Draws 1
5 Losses 5
21 Goals For 16
24 Goals Against 29
2.1 Avg Goals Scored 2
2.4 Avg Goals Conceded 3.63
8 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
3.5 Shots On Goal 4
8 Total Shots 19
3 Corners 4
42.5% Ball Possession 60.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, VVV Venlo won 10 times, De Graafschap won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:22 from VVV Venlo's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.3%)
Predicted formations: VVV Venlo 4-2-2-2 / De Graafschap 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: VVV Venlo wins 10, draws 1, De Graafschap wins 4

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 31:12 19 25
W D W L W
2 10 7 1 2 22:7 15 22
W W L W W
3 10 7 0 3 26:14 12 21
W W L W W
4 10 6 1 3 22:18 4 19
W D W L L
5 10 5 2 3 20:19 1 17
W D W W L
6 10 4 4 2 10:8 2 16
D L W D W
7 10 5 1 4 13:20 -7 16
L L W L L
8 10 5 0 5 22:17 5 15
W L W L W
9 10 3 5 2 19:15 4 14
L D L W W
10 10 4 2 4 15:15 0 14
L D L W L
11 10 4 1 5 22:18 4 13
L W D L W
12 10 3 4 3 15:17 -2 13
D L D L W
13 10 4 0 6 15:15 0 12
W W L W L
14 10 3 2 5 14:18 -4 11
W D L W L
15 10 3 2 5 15:22 -7 11
L D L W W
16 10 3 2 5 13:23 -10 11
W D W L W
17 10 2 3 5 16:19 -3 9
L D L L W
18 10 2 2 6 13:25 -12 8
L D L L W
19 10 2 2 6 13:27 -14 8
L D W L L
20 10 2 1 7 16:23 -7 7
L L W W D
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