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UKRAINE › PREMIER LEAGUE
12.10.2026 10:00
Arena Livyi Bereg

Livyi Bereh vs Zorya Luhansk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 50%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
62.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
50%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Livyi Bereh Win 40.5%
Draw 22.2%
Zorya Luhansk Win 37.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Livyi Bereh1.45
Zorya Luhansk1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh
WWDLW
15 GF / 8 GA
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk
WLDWL
36 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
6
BTTS Yes
17
4
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 11 matches
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 24 matches
Livyi Bereh Statistic Zorya Luhansk
4 Wins 6
6 Draws 8
1 Losses 10
15 Goals For 36
8 Goals Against 38
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
6 BTTS Yes 17
8 Over 1.5 22
4 Over 2.5 16
2 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Livyi Bereh's more proactive style and Zorya Luhansk's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Livyi Bereh expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Zorya Luhansk in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Zorya Luhansk having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Zorya Luhansk.

Livyi Bereh Analysis

Livyi Bereh are currently 10 in the standings with 7 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, while the 4:3 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Zorya Luhansk Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Zorya Luhansk have collected 8 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 7:11 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Livyi Bereh won 0 times, Zorya Luhansk won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:4 from Livyi Bereh's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.8%)
Predicted formations: Livyi Bereh 4-2-3-1 / Zorya Luhansk 4-4-2
H2H summary: Livyi Bereh wins 0, draws 0, Zorya Luhansk wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 15:5 10 18
W W W W L
2 7 6 0 1 15:4 11 18
W W W L W
3 7 4 2 1 15:5 10 14
D W L D W
4 6 4 1 1 9:5 4 13
W W D L W
5 6 4 0 2 12:4 8 12
W W W L L
6 7 2 3 2 6:6 0 9
W D D W D
7 7 2 2 3 6:7 -1 8
L L D W D
8 7 2 2 3 5:8 -3 8
L W D L W
9 7 2 2 3 7:11 -4 8
L D D L W
10 6 1 4 1 4:3 1 7
W L D D D
11 7 1 4 2 4:6 -2 7
L D D W L
12 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D L D W L
13 6 1 2 3 6:10 -4 5
W L D D L
14 6 1 2 3 7:10 -3 5
L D L D W
15 7 0 4 3 2:12 -10 4
D L L D D
16 7 0 2 5 5:18 -13 2
L L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga