America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
America de Cali
37 matches
Independiente Medellin
42 matches
| America de Cali | Statistic | Independiente Medellin |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 18 |
| 8 | Draws | 10 |
| 9 | Losses | 14 |
| 54 | Goals For | 60 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 54 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 28 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 18 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.7 | Shots On Goal | 4.55 |
| 13.48 | Total Shots | 13.55 |
| 4.06 | Corners | 4.85 |
| 54.5% | Ball Possession | 49.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Independiente Medellin. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
America de Cali come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 33 points after 19 matches. The return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 25:15, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Yeison Guzmán (10 goals), Y. Guzmán (5 goals), D. Rosero (4 goals), with creative support from R. Carrascal (9 assists), L. Quiñones (4 assists), Yeison Guzmán (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Independiente Medellin are currently 11 in the standings with 26 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 26:24 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Montaño (7 goals), J. Medina (3 goals), Y. González (2 goals), with creative support from J. Montaño (4 assists), F. Fabra (3 assists), Y. González (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, America de Cali won 7 times, Independiente Medellin won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from America de Cali's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 |
America de Cali
Home
|
19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
L
L
D
D
L
|