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FINLAND › VEIKKAUSLIIGA
24.04.2026 15:00
VPS
FT
3 - 2
Ilves
Lemonsoft Stadion
Referee: Joona Kontinen, Brazil
VPS
Match Timeline
Ilves
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Faris Krkalić
Ilves
⚽
4'
V. Ronnberg
VPS
🔄
24'
R. Riski ↔ J. Kilo
Ilves
⚽
27'
J. Muzinga
VPS
🟨
31'
Luka Smyth
VPS
⚽
45'
S. Lindholm · Assist: J. Turfkruier
VPS
🔄
46'
O. Tiitinen ↔ O. Multala
Ilves
🟨
49'
Vilmer Ronnberg
VPS
🟨
50'
Oliver Pettersson
Ilves
⚽
50'
J. Kanga
Ilves
🟨
54'
Simon Lindholm
VPS
⚽
61'
O. Multala
Ilves
🔄
63'
L. Smyth ↔ J. Ali
VPS
🔄
63'
S. Lindholm ↔ A. Raisanen
VPS
🔄
79'
J. Muzinga ↔ K. Kouassivi-Benissan
VPS
🔄
83'
K. Wallius ↔ G. Bamba
Ilves
🔄
83'
M. Stjopin ↔ S. Baranov
Ilves

VPS vs Ilves Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 57.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
57.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
VPS Win 62.9%
Draw 17.7%
Ilves Win 19.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
VPS0.86
Ilves1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
VPS VPS
WWDLW
4 GF / 6 GA
Ilves Ilves
WLDWL
17 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.57
Average Goals Scored
2.43
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
3
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
4
0.67
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VPS VPS 7 matches
Ilves Ilves 7 matches
VPS Statistic Ilves
1 Wins 3
3 Draws 1
3 Losses 3
4 Goals For 17
6 Goals Against 9
0.57 Avg Goals Scored 2.43
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
3 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 1
0.67 Shots On Goal 3.67
3.33 Total Shots 11
3 Corners 4
27% Ball Possession 45%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, VPS won 6 times, Ilves won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:21 from VPS's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.3%)
Predicted formations: VPS 3-4-3 / Ilves 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: VPS wins 6, draws 2, Ilves wins 7

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
KuPS
22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L L W D D
2
Inter Turku
22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W D W W L
3
HJK Helsinki
22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W D D W W
4
Gnistan
22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D D W D D
5
AC Oulu
22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
W L L L D
6
VPS Home
22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L L L W L
7
Lahti
22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
L D L W W
8
Turku PS
22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L L D D
9
Ilves Away
22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
D W W W L
10
SJK
22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
W W D D D
11
FF Jaro
22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
W D D L L
12
Mariehamn
22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
D L W L W
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs