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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
06.09.2026 17:00
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Referee: Gustavo Correia, Portugal
Vitória SC
Match Timeline
Casa Pia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
29'
A. Gomes ↔ I. Mandic
Casa Pia
🔄
46'
K. Prieto ↔ JP
Casa Pia
🔄
57'
A. Jatta ↔ H. Araujo
Casa Pia
🔄
57'
B. Pauwels ↔ M. Salah
Casa Pia
🟨
62'
Gustavo Silva
Vitória SC
🟨
62'
Ivan Mandić
Casa Pia
🔄
63'
A. Ndoye ↔ A. Jakupovic
Vitória SC
🔄
70'
Kaly ↔ J. Goulart
Casa Pia
🔄
71'
A. Sidibe ↔ O. Rivas Viondi
Vitória SC
🔄
71'
M. Nogueira ↔ O. Camara
Vitória SC
🟨
72'
JP
Casa Pia
🟨
86'
Thiago Balieiro
Vitória SC
🔄
87'
Samu ↔ G. Nogueira
Vitória SC
🔄
87'
L. Doucet ↔ P. Ouotro
Vitória SC

Vitória SC vs Casa Pia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.8%
Odds 1.52
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 2.05
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds 2.06
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.8%
1.52 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
2.05 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.4%
2.06 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.2%
1.33 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.30 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Vitória SC Win 77.8%
Draw 5.7%
Casa Pia Win 16.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitória SC2.22
Casa Pia0.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vitória SC Vitória SC
WWDLW
19 GF / 8 GA
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WLDWL
4 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
0.57
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
2.71
4
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
3
3.25
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vitória SC Vitória SC 10 matches
Casa Pia Casa Pia 7 matches
Vitória SC Statistic Casa Pia
6 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
3 Losses 6
19 Goals For 4
8 Goals Against 19
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 0.57
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 2.71
4 BTTS Yes 2
7 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 5
3.25 Shots On Goal 2
16.75 Total Shots 9.75
3 Corners 4
49% Ball Possession 51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Vitória SC won 2 times, Casa Pia won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Vitória SC's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 0.89 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Vitória SC 4-2-3-1 / Casa Pia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Vitória SC wins 2, draws 4, Casa Pia wins 3

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 7 0 0 18:3 15 21
W W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 22:7 15 16
L W W W W
3 7 4 3 0 17:8 9 15
D D W W W
4 7 4 3 0 11:4 7 15
D W W D W
5 7 3 2 2 10:7 3 11
D L D W L
6 6 3 2 1 7:5 2 11
D W L W W
7 7 3 2 2 9:9 0 11
W W W L D
8 7 2 4 1 14:14 0 10
L D W D W
9 6 2 2 2 5:5 0 8
D L L D W
10 7 2 2 3 9:11 -2 8
W W L D L
11 7 2 2 3 8:12 -4 8
D L L L D
12 7 2 2 3 8:14 -6 8
D W L L W
13 7 1 4 2 9:7 2 7
W D D D L
14 7 1 2 4 5:8 -3 5
D L D L W
15 7 1 1 5 7:15 -8 4
L L L L L
16 7 1 1 5 5:15 -10 4
L D L L W
17 7 1 1 5 3:16 -13 4
W L D L L
18 7 0 2 5 3:10 -7 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2