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11.05.2026 00:30
Jose Amalfitani
Referee: Carlos Andres Gariano, Argentina
Velez Sarsfield
Match Timeline
Gimnasia L.P.
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Joaquín García
Velez Sarsfield
⚽
13'
M. Torres
Gimnasia L.P.
🟨
18'
Manuel Lanzini
Velez Sarsfield
🟨
21'
Germán Conti
Gimnasia L.P.
🟨
25'
Marcelo Torres
Gimnasia L.P.
🔄
46'
R. Aliendro ↔ M. Pellegrini
Velez Sarsfield
VAR
52'
Enzo Martínez
Gimnasia L.P.
🟥
55'
Enzo Martínez
Gimnasia L.P.
🔄
57'
A. Max ↔ M. Melluso
Gimnasia L.P.
🔄
57'
P. Silva Torrejon ↔ R. Giampaoli
Gimnasia L.P.
🟨
67'
Agustín Auzmendi
Gimnasia L.P.
🔄
71'
L. Robertone ↔ D. Valdes
Velez Sarsfield
🔄
76'
M. Torres ↔ M. Panaro
Gimnasia L.P.
🔄
76'
M. Seoane ↔ B. Barros Schelotto
Gimnasia L.P.
🟨
80'
Nacho Fernández
Gimnasia L.P.
🔄
81'
J. Garcia ↔ D. Godoy
Velez Sarsfield
🔄
88'
A. Auzmendi ↔ G. Errecalde
Gimnasia L.P.
🟨
90+1'
Nelson Insfrán
Gimnasia L.P.

Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P. Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 97.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 67%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
97.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
67%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Velez Sarsfield Win 49.2%
Draw 2.6%
Gimnasia L.P. Win 48.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Velez Sarsfield1.24
Gimnasia L.P.1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
WWDLW
24 GF / 13 GA
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
WLDWL
26 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.44
0.72
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
9
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
10
4
Shots on Goal
3.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 18 matches
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 18 matches
Velez Sarsfield Statistic Gimnasia L.P.
9 Wins 10
7 Draws 2
2 Losses 6
24 Goals For 26
13 Goals Against 20
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
0.72 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
9 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 13
5 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 5
4 Shots On Goal 3.56
11.5 Total Shots 11.13
3.63 Corners 4.19
54.3% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Velez Sarsfield won 5 times, Gimnasia L.P. won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from Velez Sarsfield's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (97.4%)
Predicted formations: Velez Sarsfield 4-2-3-1 / Gimnasia L.P. 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Velez Sarsfield wins 5, draws 4, Gimnasia L.P. wins 5

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
D W L W L
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
D W W W D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D W D W D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L L L W L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
W L W D W
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
D W W W L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
W L L D W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L L L L W
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
D W W W L
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W W D W L
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
L D L D W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
D D L L D
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
D D D L L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D W D D D
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
L D D L D
Knockout Phase