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12.10.2026 16:00

Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Radomiak Radom Win 68.5%
Draw 14.6%
Motor Lublin Win 16.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Radomiak Radom1.6
Motor Lublin1.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
WWDLW
41 GF / 44 GA
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
WLDWL
30 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
2
1.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
17
BTTS Yes
11
18
Over 2.5
10
4.22
Shots on Goal
4.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 23 matches
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 15 matches
Radomiak Radom Statistic Motor Lublin
8 Wins 7
4 Draws 3
11 Losses 5
41 Goals For 30
44 Goals Against 20
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
17 BTTS Yes 11
21 Over 1.5 13
18 Over 2.5 10
12 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 2
4.22 Shots On Goal 4.22
14.67 Total Shots 14.67
6.22 Corners 4
47.1% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Motor Lublin. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Motor Lublin arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Radomiak Radom Analysis

With 8 points from 9 games and a place of 14, Radomiak Radom still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 7:20, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Grzesik (1 goals), R. Wolski (1 goals), I. Camará (1 goals), with creative support from J. Grzesik (1 assists), Luquinhas (1 assists), Romário Baró (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Motor Lublin Analysis

Motor Lublin sit 16 with 6 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 9:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Czubak (5 goals), K. Lukoszek (1 goals), with creative support from M. Ndiaye (3 assists), Ivo Rodrigues (2 assists), K. Lukoszek (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Radomiak Radom won 1 times, Motor Lublin won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:13 from Radomiak Radom's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.88 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.5%)
Predicted formations: Radomiak Radom 4-1-4-1 / Motor Lublin 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Radomiak Radom wins 1, draws 3, Motor Lublin wins 4

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 16:8 8 22
D W W W W
2 9 5 4 0 19:8 11 19
W D W D D
3 8 6 1 1 17:7 10 19
W L W W W
4 9 5 2 2 17:12 5 17
W W D W D
5 8 4 3 1 12:6 6 15
W W D D D
6 9 4 3 2 12:10 2 15
W L W D W
7 9 4 3 2 11:10 1 15
L W W D D
8 9 4 1 4 16:15 1 13
L W W W D
9 8 4 0 4 16:13 3 12
W L L W W
10 8 4 0 4 12:13 -1 12
L L W L W
11 8 3 2 3 9:12 -3 11
W W D L L
12 9 1 6 2 13:13 0 9
D D D L D
13 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L L L L W
14 9 2 2 5 7:20 -13 8
L L D W D
15 9 1 3 5 11:15 -4 6
L L L D D
16 9 1 3 5 9:15 -6 6
D L L L D
17 8 1 2 5 11:17 -6 5
D L D L L
18 9 1 0 8 12:21 -9 3
L L W L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation