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CHILE › PRIMERA B
12.10.2026 15:30
Estadio Regional de Chinquihue

D. Puerto Montt vs San Luis Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.5%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-3
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
D. Puerto Montt Win 25.5%
Draw 4.1%
San Luis Win 70.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
D. Puerto Montt1.12
San Luis1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt
WWDLW
37 GF / 43 GA
San Luis San Luis
WLDWL
52 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
14
BTTS Yes
21
13
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt 35 matches
San Luis San Luis 32 matches
D. Puerto Montt Statistic San Luis
14 Wins 14
5 Draws 11
16 Losses 7
37 Goals For 52
43 Goals Against 39
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
14 BTTS Yes 21
27 Over 1.5 26
13 Over 2.5 16
5 Over 3.5 12
12 Clean Sheets 8
11 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by San Luis's more proactive style and D. Puerto Montt's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward San Luis. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. San Luis look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Luis having the stronger overall control. San Luis carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 47 points while D. Puerto Montt sit 10 on 34, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

D. Puerto Montt Analysis

With 34 points from 26 games and a place of 10, D. Puerto Montt still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 26:34, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Luis Analysis

San Luis come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 47 points after 26 matches. With 13 wins, 8 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 41:29, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, D. Puerto Montt won 4 times, San Luis won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:10 from D. Puerto Montt's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: D. Puerto Montt 4-2-3-1 / San Luis -
H2H summary: D. Puerto Montt wins 4, draws 3, San Luis wins 3

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 9 4 44:27 17 48
W W D L W
2 26 13 8 5 41:29 12 47
W W W W W
3 26 12 8 6 41:28 13 44
L L L W W
4 26 12 7 7 42:38 4 43
W W D D L
5 26 11 8 7 44:26 18 41
W L D L W
6 26 11 8 7 38:34 4 41
W D W W D
7 26 10 9 7 33:24 9 39
W W L W L
8 26 10 7 9 40:39 1 37
W W D L L
9 26 10 6 10 32:34 -2 36
L D L D L
10 26 10 4 12 26:34 -8 34
L L L W L
11 26 8 8 10 40:36 4 32
L D W L W
12 26 7 10 9 35:30 5 31
W W L L L
13 26 6 9 11 22:39 -17 27
L L W L D
14 26 4 10 12 27:40 -13 22
L D W D D
15 26 5 7 14 16:44 -28 22
L L L D D
16 26 4 6 16 23:42 -19 18
L L W W W