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CHILE › PRIMERA B
08.08.2026 16:30
Estadio Municipal de San Felipe
Union San Felipe
Match Timeline
Recoleta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
53'
V. Perales
Union San Felipe
🟨
59'
F. Alarcon
Recoleta
🔄
60'
J. Espinoza ↔ F. Martin
Recoleta
🔄
61'
P. Munoz ↔ A. Fontana
Union San Felipe
🟨
62'
C. Rodriguez
Recoleta
🔄
66'
M. Galleguillos ↔ F. Lobos
Union San Felipe
🔄
74'
C. Rodriguez ↔ D. Viveros
Recoleta
🔄
74'
R. Riveros ↔ G. Alvarez
Recoleta
🟨
77'
A. Fontana
Union San Felipe
🔄
80'
B. Aravena ↔ B. Gonzalez
Union San Felipe
🟨
82'
B. Gonzalez
Union San Felipe
🟨
87'
P. Sanchez
Recoleta
🟨
90+1'
B. Provoste
Recoleta
VAR
90+7'
Recoleta
Recoleta
🔄
90+4'
B. Provoste ↔ N. Carvajal
Recoleta
🔄
90+1'
P. Sanchez ↔ F. Flores
Recoleta

Union San Felipe vs Recoleta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.6%
Odds -
1 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Union San Felipe Win 52.6%
Draw 6.4%
Recoleta Win 41%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union San Felipe1.16
Recoleta1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union San Felipe Union San Felipe
WWDLW
20 GF / 42 GA
Recoleta Recoleta
WLDWL
30 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
0.87
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
10
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 23 matches
Recoleta Recoleta 22 matches
Union San Felipe Statistic Recoleta
6 Wins 7
5 Draws 6
12 Losses 9
20 Goals For 30
42 Goals Against 35
0.87 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
10 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 17
10 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 4
10 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Recoleta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Recoleta having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Union San Felipe Analysis

Union San Felipe approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 16 points from 16 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 13:29 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Recoleta Analysis

Recoleta sit 10 with 22 points after 16 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 25:26 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Union San Felipe won 0 times, Recoleta won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:12 from Union San Felipe's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Union San Felipe 4-4-2 / Recoleta -
H2H summary: Union San Felipe wins 0, draws 6, Recoleta wins 5

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 9 4 44:27 17 48
W W D L W
2 26 13 8 5 41:29 12 47
W W W W W
3 27 13 7 7 44:39 5 46
W W W D D
4 27 12 8 7 42:30 12 44
L L L L W
5 26 11 8 7 44:26 18 41
W L D L W
6 27 11 8 8 39:36 3 41
L W D W W
7 26 10 9 7 33:24 9 39
W W L W L
8 26 10 7 9 40:39 1 37
W W D L L
9 26 10 6 10 32:34 -2 36
L D L D L
10 27 9 8 10 42:37 5 35
W L D W L
11 26 10 4 12 26:34 -8 34
L L L W L
12 26 7 10 9 35:30 5 31
W W L L L
13 27 7 9 11 24:40 -16 30
W L L W L
14 27 4 10 13 28:42 -14 22
L L D W D
15 26 5 7 14 16:44 -28 22
L L L D D
16 26 4 6 16 23:42 -19 18
L L W W W