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CHILE › PRIMERA B
01.05.2026 00:00
Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK
Union Espanola
Match Timeline
Curico Unido
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
B. Inostroza
Curico Unido
🟨
38'
E. Ormeno
Curico Unido
🟨
41'
B. Roco
Union Espanola
🔄
46'
R. Vasquez ↔ A. Vilches Araneda
Union Espanola
🔄
46'
A. Nunez ↔ B. Droguett
Union Espanola
⚽
52'
P. Rubio
Union Espanola
⚽
56'
M. Wassenne
Union Espanola
🔄
63'
R. Riveros ↔ M. Lopes Acevedo
Curico Unido
🟨
64'
J. Aja
Union Espanola
🔄
73'
E. Ormeno ↔ J. Romo
Curico Unido
🔄
73'
N. Fernandez ↔ J. Alfaro
Curico Unido
🔄
79'
B. Roco ↔ R. Alarcon
Union Espanola
🔄
82'
M. Celis ↔ M. Ormeno
Union Espanola
🔄
87'
P. Rubio ↔ T. Ovando
Union Espanola
🔄
88'
B. Inostroza ↔ D. Avendano
Curico Unido
🟨
89'
R. Colombo
Curico Unido
🟨
90+1'
J. Alfaro
Curico Unido

Union Espanola vs Curico Unido Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
84.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Union Espanola Win 65.9%
Draw 12.8%
Curico Unido Win 21.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Espanola1.28
Curico Unido1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union Espanola Union Espanola
WWDLW
13 GF / 13 GA
Curico Unido Curico Unido
WLDWL
14 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
7
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union Espanola Union Espanola 12 matches
Curico Unido Curico Unido 12 matches
Union Espanola Statistic Curico Unido
4 Wins 3
3 Draws 5
5 Losses 4
13 Goals For 14
13 Goals Against 19
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
7 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 6
0 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Curico Unido. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Curico Unido having the stronger overall control.

Union Espanola Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Union Espanola have collected 11 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while the 11:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Contreras (3 goals), P. Rubio (2 goals), U. Ojeda (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Curico Unido Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Curico Unido have collected 10 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 11:16 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Benegas (7 goals), C. Bustamante (1 goals), J. Romo (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Union Espanola won 9 times, Curico Unido won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:16 from Union Espanola's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.42 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.2%)
H2H summary: Union Espanola wins 9, draws 2, Curico Unido wins 1

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 9 4 44:27 17 48
W W D L W
2 26 13 8 5 41:29 12 47
W W W W W
3 27 13 7 7 44:39 5 46
W W W D D
4 27 12 8 7 42:30 12 44
L L L L W
5 26 11 8 7 44:26 18 41
W L D L W
6 27 11 8 8 39:36 3 41
L W D W W
7 26 10 9 7 33:24 9 39
W W L W L
8 26 10 7 9 40:39 1 37
W W D L L
9 26 10 6 10 32:34 -2 36
L D L D L
10 27 9 8 10 42:37 5 35
W L D W L
11 26 10 4 12 26:34 -8 34
L L L W L
12 26 7 10 9 35:30 5 31
W W L L L
13 27 7 9 11 24:40 -16 30
W L L W L
14 27 4 10 13 28:42 -14 22
L L D W D
15 26 5 7 14 16:44 -28 22
L L L D D
16 26 4 6 16 23:42 -19 18
L L W W W