ECUADOR LIGA PRO
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Estadio Bellavista

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.5%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.5%
1.36
BTTS No
65.8%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.51
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.1%
1.54
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25
Correct Score 3-0
-
17.00
Probability Distribution
Tecnico Universitario Win 46.8%
Draw 8.5%
Guayaquil City FC Win 44.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tecnico Universitario0.93
Guayaquil City FC1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
WWDLW
21 GF / 35 GA
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC
WLDWL
25 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
9
BTTS Yes
13
11
Over 2.5
10
3.84
Shots on Goal
3.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 26 matches
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 28 matches
Tecnico Universitario Statistic Guayaquil City FC
8 Wins 8
2 Draws 9
16 Losses 11
21 Goals For 25
35 Goals Against 31
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
9 BTTS Yes 13
16 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 10
3.84 Shots On Goal 3.16
11.88 Total Shots 8.32
4.96 Corners 2.84
42.5% Ball Possession 53.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tecnico Universitario expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Guayaquil City FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Guayaquil City FC having the stronger overall control. Tecnico Universitario have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Guayaquil City FC. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Tecnico Universitario Analysis

Tecnico Universitario approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 26 points from 24 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 20:32, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Mateo Castano (3 goals), Julian Anaya (3 goals), Johan Bocanegra (2 goals), with creative support from Mateo Castano (2 assists), Johan Bocanegra (2 assists), Luis Estupiñan (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Guayaquil City FC Analysis

So far, Guayaquil City FC have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 29 points from 24 matches. The record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 20:25 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Edinson Mero (8 goals), Damián Díaz (4 goals), Pablo González (3 goals), with creative support from Junior Ayovi (4 assists), Edinson Mero (2 assists), Damián Díaz (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tecnico Universitario won 6 times, Guayaquil City FC won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:14 from Tecnico Universitario's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)
Predicted formations: Tecnico Universitario 3-4-3 / Guayaquil City FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Tecnico Universitario wins 6, draws 3, Guayaquil City FC wins 6
Last matches: Tecnico Universitario
16.08.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
1
2
L
10.08.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
0
3
L
01.08.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
0
5
L
26.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
1
0
W
22.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
0
3
L
19.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
0
1
L
15.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
0
1
L
11.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
0
2
L
07.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
2
1
W
02.06.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
15.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
1
2
L
09.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
4
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
22.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
1
2
L
Last matches: Guayaquil City FC
15.08.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
2
2
D
10.08.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
0
0
D
02.08.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
1
2
L
27.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
0
0
D
23.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
19.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Manta FC
1
0
W
16.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
11.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Delfin SC
2
1
W
08.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
0
1
L
31.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
2
4
L
23.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
19.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Orense SC
0
1
L
09.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
21.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
3
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
1
4
L
23.03.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
0
0
D
H2H: Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil City FC
26.04.26
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
L
11.11.23
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
L
04.06.23
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
3
0
W
14.08.22
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
3
1
W
03.04.22
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
W
29.08.21
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
L
04.04.21
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
3
0
W
17.12.20
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
0
0
D
04.10.20
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
L
21.09.19
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
4
4
D
28.04.19
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
3
1
L
17.07.18
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
20.02.18
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
0
D
16.11.14
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
2
0
W
08.08.14
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
L
Last matches: Tecnico Universitario
10.08.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
0
3
L
26.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
1
0
W
19.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
0
1
L
11.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
0
2
L
02.06.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
09.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
4
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
1
1
D
H2H at home: Tecnico Universitario
04.06.23
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
3
0
W
14.08.22
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
3
1
W
04.04.21
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
3
0
W
17.12.20
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
0
0
D
21.09.19
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
4
4
D
17.07.18
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
16.11.14
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
2
0
W
Last matches: Guayaquil City FC
02.08.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
1
2
L
23.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
16.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
08.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
0
1
L
23.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
02.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
21.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
3
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
1
4
L
18.03.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Manta FC
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
Guayaquil City FC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
01.02.26
Fri
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
H2H away: Guayaquil City FC
04.06.23
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
3
0
L
14.08.22
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
3
1
L
04.04.21
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
3
0
L
17.12.20
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
0
0
D
21.09.19
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
4
4
D
17.07.18
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
L
16.11.14
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
2
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.16
Draw 3.05
Home 2.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.91
Draw 2.00
Home 2.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.48
Over 1.75 1.62
Over 2.0 1.87
Over 2.25 2.19
Over 2.5 2.51
Over 3.5 4.78
Under 0.5 6.23
Under 1.5 2.58
Under 1.75 2.25
Under 2.0 1.92
Under 2.25 1.65
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 3.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.80
Draw 3.20
Home 1.95
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.00
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.25
Home 2.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.40
Over 3.5 4.50
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 23.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 7.00
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.53
Under 3.5 1.18
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.09
Draw 3.09
Home 1.99
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.90
Draw 1.86
Home 2.67
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.20
Home 2.32
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 0.75 1.07
Over 1.0 1.10
Over 1.25 1.28
Over 1.5 1.45
Over 1.75 1.59
Over 2.0 1.81
Over 2.25 2.15
Over 2.5 2.47
Over 2.75 2.88
Over 3.0 3.86
Over 3.25 4.22
Over 3.5 4.62
Over 3.75 5.85
Over 4.0 8.65
Over 4.5 10.50
Over 5.5 20.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 6.40
Under 0.75 5.75
Under 1.0 5.12
Under 1.25 3.16
Under 1.5 2.49
Under 1.75 2.19
Under 2.0 1.88
Under 2.25 1.65
Under 2.5 1.51
Under 2.75 1.35
Under 3.0 1.21
Under 3.25 1.16
Under 3.5 1.14
Under 3.75 1.07
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.95
Draw 3.15
Home 1.89
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 2.5 2.25
Over 3.5 4.00
Under 0.5 6.50
Under 1.5 2.65
Under 2.5 1.55
Under 3.5 1.19

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 21 1 3 61:24 37 64
W W W W W
2 25 12 6 7 33:25 8 42
D W W W W
3 25 12 5 8 29:26 3 41
L W W L L
4 25 11 7 7 40:22 18 40
D L W D W
5 25 11 5 9 24:20 4 38
W L W W D
6 25 9 9 7 25:20 5 36
D L D L L
7 25 9 8 8 26:25 1 35
W L D W D
8 25 9 7 9 28:29 -1 34
D W W W W
9 25 8 8 9 32:34 -2 32
D W W L D
10 25 9 4 12 22:32 -10 31
L L L W L
11 25 7 9 9 22:27 -5 30
D D L D D
12 25 8 6 11 30:36 -6 30
W D L L W
13 25 8 8 9 21:29 -8 29
W D L L D
14 25 8 2 15 21:34 -13 26
L L L W L
15 25 6 6 13 17:27 -10 24
L D L L L
16 25 4 5 16 11:32 -21 17
L W L L D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs