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ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
22.08.2026 21:30
Estadio Bellavista
Referee: Alex Fabricio Cajas Torres, Ecuador
Tecnico Universitario
Match Timeline
Guayaquil City FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Mateo Castano
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
39'
Diego Armas
Tecnico Universitario
⚽
41'
D. Armas · Assist: Johan Bocanegra
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
44'
Luis Estupiñan
Tecnico Universitario
⚽
50'
M. Castano · Assist: Johan Bocanegra
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
64'
J. Quinonez ↔ E. P. Ladines Calvache
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
64'
S. Laurino ↔ P. Mancilla
Guayaquil City FC
⚽
64'
Y. Rodriguez · Assist: M. Bolanos
Guayaquil City FC
🟨
66'
Bagner Delgado
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
68'
E. E. Mesa Mercado ↔ L. B. Torres Nazareno
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
68'
M. Castano ↔ J. Caicedo
Tecnico Universitario
⚽
69'
M. Bolanos
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
79'
B. Delgado ↔ B. Ona
Tecnico Universitario
⚽
81'
M. Bolanos · Assist: E. Mero
Guayaquil City FC
🟨
83'
Anderson Naula
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
84'
Johan Bocanegra ↔ C. Arteaga
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
84'
L. Estupinan ↔ W. Caicedo
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
84'
P. Gonzalez ↔ K. Sambonino
Guayaquil City FC
🟨
90'
Roger Arias
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
90+1'
R. Arias ↔ E. Cabezas
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
90'
E. Mero ↔ D. Dorregaray
Guayaquil City FC

Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil City FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.5%
- ▥
BTTS No
65.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Tecnico Universitario Win 46.8%
Draw 8.5%
Guayaquil City FC Win 44.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tecnico Universitario0.93
Guayaquil City FC1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
WWDLW
21 GF / 35 GA
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC
WLDWL
25 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
9
BTTS Yes
13
11
Over 2.5
10
3.84
Shots on Goal
3.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 26 matches
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 28 matches
Tecnico Universitario Statistic Guayaquil City FC
8 Wins 8
2 Draws 9
16 Losses 11
21 Goals For 25
35 Goals Against 31
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
9 BTTS Yes 13
16 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 10
3.84 Shots On Goal 3.16
11.92 Total Shots 8.32
4.96 Corners 2.84
42.2% Ball Possession 53.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tecnico Universitario expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Guayaquil City FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Guayaquil City FC having the stronger overall control. Tecnico Universitario have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Guayaquil City FC. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Tecnico Universitario Analysis

Tecnico Universitario approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 26 points from 24 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 20:32, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Mateo Castano (3 goals), Julian Anaya (3 goals), Johan Bocanegra (2 goals), with creative support from Mateo Castano (2 assists), Johan Bocanegra (2 assists), Luis Estupiñan (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Guayaquil City FC Analysis

So far, Guayaquil City FC have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 29 points from 24 matches. The record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 20:25 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Edinson Mero (8 goals), Damián Díaz (4 goals), Pablo González (3 goals), with creative support from Junior Ayovi (4 assists), Edinson Mero (2 assists), Damián Díaz (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tecnico Universitario won 6 times, Guayaquil City FC won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:15 from Tecnico Universitario's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)
Predicted formations: Tecnico Universitario 3-4-3 / Guayaquil City FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Tecnico Universitario wins 6, draws 3, Guayaquil City FC wins 6

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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