Sporting CP
Match Timeline
Nacional
Sporting CP vs Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
86.4%
|
1.15 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.95 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.37 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85%
|
2.00 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.67 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Probability Distribution
Sporting CP Win 86.4%
Draw 4.2%
Nacional Win 9.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting CP2.8
Nacional1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting CP
WWDLW
29 GF / 7 GA
Nacional
WLDWL
11 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
3.63
Average Goals Scored
1.22
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
5
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
4
6.25
Shots on Goal
3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sporting CP
8 matches
Nacional
9 matches
| Sporting CP | Statistic | Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 4 |
| 0 | Losses | 4 |
| 29 | Goals For | 11 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 3.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 6.25 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 12.25 | Total Shots | 11.75 |
| 3.75 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 58% | Ball Possession | 51.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting CP won 14 times, Nacional won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 37:6 from Sporting CP's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Sporting CP 4-2-3-1 / Nacional 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Sporting CP wins 14, draws 1, Nacional wins 0
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 15 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Sporting CP
Home
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 11 | 18 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 |
Nacional
Away
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | -13 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2