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--.--.---- --:--
Shimizu S-pulse
FT
1 - 2
V-varen Nagasaki
IAI Stadium Nihondaira
Referee: Y. Yamashita
Shimizu S-pulse
Match Timeline
V-varen Nagasaki
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
8'
Jelani Reshaun Sumiyoshi
Shimizu S-pulse
⚽
21'
Y. Shimamoto
Shimizu S-pulse
🟨
27'
Riku Yamada
V-varen Nagasaki
⚽
33'
Thiago · Assist: I. Arai
V-varen Nagasaki
🟨
36'
Onaga Hijiri
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
46'
K. Kozuka ↔ S. Hasukawa
Shimizu S-pulse
⚽
46'
M. Hasegawa · Assist: Dudu Giusti
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
61'
R. Yamada ↔ R. Yamasaki
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
61'
Dudu Giusti ↔ Diego Pituca
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
63'
M. Yumiba ↔ Z. Uno
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
70'
Y. Shimamoto ↔ Capixaba
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
72'
Thiago ↔ Y. Iwasaki
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
83'
Park Seung-Wook ↔ Y. Honda
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
83'
H. Hidaka ↔ T. Takahashi
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
90+3'
S. Yoneda ↔ K. Takahata
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
90+3'
T. Matsumoto ↔ T. Sawada
V-varen Nagasaki

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 33.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
33.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
70.3%
- ▥
HT / FT X-X
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Shimizu S-pulse Win 46%
Draw 21.1%
V-varen Nagasaki Win 33%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shimizu S-pulse1.28
V-varen Nagasaki0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
WWDLW
17 GF / 13 GA
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
WLDWL
13 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
7
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
3.17
Shots on Goal
3.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 14 matches
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 13 matches
Shimizu S-pulse Statistic V-varen Nagasaki
5 Wins 5
6 Draws 1
3 Losses 7
17 Goals For 13
13 Goals Against 18
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
7 BTTS Yes 5
11 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 4
3.17 Shots On Goal 3.08
10.17 Total Shots 10.25
4.5 Corners 3.5
47.9% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Shimizu S-pulse won 4 times, V-varen Nagasaki won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:15 from Shimizu S-pulse's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.9%)
Predicted formations: Shimizu S-pulse 3-4-2-1 / V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Shimizu S-pulse wins 4, draws 3, V-varen Nagasaki wins 3
Stats
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
5
3 Corner Kicks 4
10 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 1
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Goal 6
1 Shots off Goal 7
5 Blocked Shots 5
5 Shots insidebox 11
2 Shots outsidebox 7
4 Goalkeeper Saves 0
345 Total passes 463
255 Passes accurate 382
0.57 expected_goals 1.30
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Shimizu S-pulse
Formation
V-varen Nagasaki
T. Umeda
T. Umeda
Park Seung-Wook
↓
Park Seung-Wook
J. Sumiyoshi
J. Sumiyoshi
M. Brunetti
M. Brunetti
H. Hidaka
↓
H. Hidaka
M. Yumiba
↓
M. Yumiba
Matheus Bueno
Matheus Bueno
Y. Yoshida
Y. Yoshida
K. Kozuka
↓
K. Kozuka
Y. Shimamoto
⚽ ↓
Y. Shimamoto
Oh Se-Hun
Oh Se-Hun
M. Goto
M. Goto
H. Onaga
H. Onaga
I. Arai
🎯
I. Arai
Dudu Giusti
🎯 ↓
Dudu Giusti
M. Sekiguchi
M. Sekiguchi
H. Yamaguchi
H. Yamaguchi
R. Yamada
↓
R. Yamada
S. Yoneda
↓
S. Yoneda
M. Hasegawa
⚽
M. Hasegawa
T. Matsumoto
↓
T. Matsumoto
Thiago
⚽ ↓
Thiago
Shimizu S-pulse 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
16
T. Umeda
G
14
Park Seung-Wook
↓ 83'
D
51
J. Sumiyoshi
🟥 8'
D
25
M. Brunetti
D
39
H. Hidaka
↓ 83'
M
17
M. Yumiba
↓ 63'
M
10
Matheus Bueno
M
28
Y. Yoshida
M
81
K. Kozuka
↓ 46'
F
47
Y. Shimamoto
⚽ 21' ↓ 70'
F
9
Oh Se-Hun
F
Substitutes
1
Y. Oki
G
15
Y. Honda
↑ 83'
D
38
T. Takahashi
↑ 83'
F
6
Z. Uno
↑ 63'
M
5
K. Kitazume
D
7
Capixaba
↑ 70'
M
4
S. Hasukawa
↑ 46'
D
33
D. Yuji
97
R. Ohata
M
V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
M. Goto
G
22
H. Onaga
🟨 36'
D
29
I. Arai
🎯 33'
D
4
Dudu Giusti
🎯 46' ↓ 61'
D
3
M. Sekiguchi
M
5
H. Yamaguchi
M
24
R. Yamada
↓ 61' 🟨 27'
M
23
S. Yoneda
↓ 90+3'
M
41
M. Hasegawa
⚽ 46'
F
34
T. Matsumoto
↓ 90+3'
F
9
Thiago
⚽ 33' ↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
13
G. Hatano
G
18
R. Yamasaki
↑ 61'
F
21
Diego Pituca
↑ 61'
M
10
Matheus Jesus
M
8
Y. Iwasaki
↑ 72'
F
17
K. Takahata
↑ 90+3'
D
33
T. Kasayanagi
M
19
T. Sawada
↑ 90+3'
M
11
N. Campbell
M
Last matches: Shimizu S-pulse
06.06.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Yokohama F. Marinos
0
3
L
31.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1
2
L
17.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Fagiano Okayama
0
2
L
10.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
06.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
1
1
D
02.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Kyoto Sanga
2
1
W
25.04.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Nagoya Grampus
0
2
L
11.04.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
1
D
05.04.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
3
0
W
01.04.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Vissel Kobe
0
2
L
22.03.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3
1
W
18.03.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
14.03.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
07.03.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
0
0
D
28.02.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
21.02.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Vissel Kobe
1
0
W
14.02.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
08.02.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Nagoya Grampus
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Shimizu S-pulse
Jubilo Iwata
2
0
W
Last matches: V-varen Nagasaki
06.06.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
30.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
23.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
0
1
L
17.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
2
2
D
09.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
2
3
L
06.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
W
03.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
25.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
18.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
11.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
0
1
L
05.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
0
3
L
21.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
1
0
W
18.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
1
2
L
15.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
1
0
W
08.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
2
3
L
28.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
1
0
W
21.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
3
1
W
13.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
0
2
L
06.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
V-varen Nagasaki
Omiya Ardija
2
0
W
H2H: Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki
29.04.26
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
L
05.04.26
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
0
3
W
07.09.24
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
1
1
D
10.03.24
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
4
1
L
01.07.23
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
3
2
W
04.03.23
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
01.12.18
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
4
4
D
11.04.18
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
11.08.16
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
2
0
W
06.03.16
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
0
3
W
Last matches: Shimizu S-pulse
31.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1
2
L
10.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
06.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Nagoya Grampus
0
2
L
22.03.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
21.02.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Vissel Kobe
1
0
W
14.02.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Shimizu S-pulse
Kitakyushu
2
1
W
H2H at home: Shimizu S-pulse
29.04.26
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
L
07.09.24
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
1
1
D
01.07.23
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
3
2
W
11.04.18
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
11.08.16
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
2
0
W
Last matches: V-varen Nagasaki
06.06.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
23.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
0
1
L
09.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
2
3
L
18.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
11.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
0
1
L
21.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
1
0
W
08.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
2
3
L
21.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
3
1
W
13.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
0
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
V-varen Nagasaki
Omiya Ardija
2
0
W
H2H away: V-varen Nagasaki
29.04.26
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
W
07.09.24
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
1
1
D
01.07.23
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
3
2
L
11.04.18
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
W
11.08.16
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
2
0
L

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Vissel Kobe
18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2
Cerezo Osaka
18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3
Nagoya Grampus
18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5
Gamba Osaka
18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6
Fagiano Okayama
18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7
Shimizu S-pulse Home
18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8
Kyoto Sanga
18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9
V-varen Nagasaki Away
18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10
Avispa Fukuoka
18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)