Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
86.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
77.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
San Marcos de Arica
Recoleta
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
San Marcos de Arica
11 matches
Recoleta
11 matches
| San Marcos de Arica | Statistic | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 4 |
| 13 | Goals For | 20 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.73 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. San Marcos de Arica come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Recoleta having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Recoleta.
Operating from 3 place with 17 points from 9 games, San Marcos de Arica bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, with a 13:6 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on C. Melivilu Fuentes (7 goals), C. Guerra (2 goals), A. Maidana (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
From their first 9 matches, Recoleta have collected 16 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 18:17 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Baez (3 goals), G. Estigarribia (3 goals), P. Sanchez (3 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, San Marcos de Arica won 5 times, Recoleta won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:6 from San Marcos de Arica's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.
Lineups
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
San Luis
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Temuco
San Marcos de Arica
D. Puerto Montt
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
San Marcos de Arica
Curico Unido
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Copiapo
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
San Marcos de Arica
Magallanes
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
Recoleta
Colo Colo
Recoleta
O'Higgins
Recoleta
Colo Colo
Recoleta
Deportes Iquique
Recoleta
San Luis
Recoleta
Cobreloa
Recoleta
Magallanes
Recoleta
Deportes Santa Cruz
Recoleta
Antofagasta
Recoleta
Curico Unido
Recoleta
Deportes Copiapo
Recoleta
Deportes Temuco
Recoleta
Rangers de Talca
Recoleta
Union San Felipe
Recoleta
D. Puerto Montt
Recoleta
Union Espanola
Recoleta
Santiago Wanderers
Recoleta
Union Espanola
Recoleta
Union Espanola
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Temuco
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
Recoleta
Colo Colo
Recoleta
O'Higgins
Recoleta
Deportes Iquique
Recoleta
Magallanes
Recoleta
Deportes Copiapo
Recoleta
Rangers de Talca
Recoleta
D. Puerto Montt
Recoleta
Santiago Wanderers
Recoleta
Union Espanola
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30:17 | 13 | 29 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 26 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
San Marcos de Arica
Home
|
15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 25 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 4 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 26:18 | 8 | 23 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 23 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 3 | 23 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 23 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 2 | 22 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 22 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Recoleta
Away
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 22 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
| 11 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 22 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16:24 | -8 | 18 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13:27 | -14 | 16 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 13 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 12 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11:28 | -17 | 3 |
L
L
L
L
D
|