Login Register
LATVIA › VIRSLIGA
09.08.2026 15:00
Skonto stadions
Referee: V. Mordatenko
Riga
Match Timeline
Ogre United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
Caio Ferreira
Riga
🟨
9'
T. Mickevics
Ogre United
🟨
14'
A. Taiwo
Riga
⚽
16'
M. Badamosi · Assist: M. Tonisevs
Riga
⚽
26'
M. Marusii
Ogre United
⚽
45'
Abner · Assist: M. Badamosi
Riga
⚽
45'
S. Oulad M'Hand · Assist: M. Badamosi
Riga
🔄
46'
K. Gulbis ↔ T. Marusiy
Ogre United
🔄
46'
M. Ivulans ↔ J. Fokam
Ogre United
🟨
52'
M. Marusii
Ogre United
🔄
59'
R. Jurkovskis ↔ R. Aouani
Riga
🔄
59'
C. Saco ↔ A. Ankrah
Riga
🟨
62'
Caio Ferreira
Riga
🟨
68'
K. Cudars
Ogre United
🟥
72'
R. Aouani
Riga
🟨
72'
V. Mashchenko
Ogre United
VAR
73'
K. Cudars
Ogre United
🔄
73'
A. Marchuk ↔ L. Estevez Fernandez
Ogre United
🔄
73'
V. Mashchenko ↔ E. Evelons
Ogre United
🔄
81'
K. Cudars ↔ J. Grinbergs
Ogre United
🟨
82'
A. Ankrah
Riga
🔄
83'
M. Badamosi ↔ Reginaldo Ramires
Riga
🔄
83'
A. Taiwo ↔ Paulo Eduardo
Riga
🔄
90+4'
Caio Ferreira ↔ E. Maurs-Boks
Riga

Riga vs Ogre United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Riga Win 77.1%
Draw 3.1%
Ogre United Win 19.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Riga2.62
Ogre United0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Riga Riga
WWDLW
98 GF / 38 GA
Ogre United Ogre United
WLDWL
24 GF / 64 GA
Key Stats
2.72
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
2.46
22
BTTS Yes
16
29
Over 2.5
16
3.2
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Riga Riga 36 matches
Ogre United Ogre United 26 matches
Riga Statistic Ogre United
27 Wins 3
5 Draws 5
4 Losses 18
98 Goals For 24
38 Goals Against 64
2.72 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 2.46
22 BTTS Yes 16
33 Over 1.5 23
29 Over 2.5 16
20 Over 3.5 12
13 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 9
3.2 Shots On Goal 0
10 Total Shots 0
4.4 Corners 0
32.6% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Riga's more proactive style and Ogre United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ogre United. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Riga arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 58 points compared to Ogre United in 10 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ogre United having the stronger overall control. Riga come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Riga Analysis

Riga come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 58 points after 23 matches. The return of 18 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 68:20, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Ogre United Analysis

Ogre United are currently 10 in the standings with 14 points from 24 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 16 losses with goals at 23:61 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Riga won 3 times, Ogre United won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:2 from Riga's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.9%)
Predicted formations: Riga 3-5-2 / Ogre United -
H2H summary: Riga wins 3, draws 0, Ogre United wins 0

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Riga Home
32 23 7 2 88:30 58 76
W W W D D
2 30 23 5 2 71:22 49 74
D W D W D
3 31 18 7 6 49:30 19 61
D W D W D
4 31 12 7 12 41:43 -2 43
D D D W L
5 32 11 9 12 37:36 1 42
W D L D L
6 31 11 5 15 31:41 -10 38
W L L W W
7 31 8 8 15 32:49 -17 32
L D L W W
8 32 5 11 16 22:54 -32 26
L D D L W
9 32 5 9 18 44:63 -19 24
L D L W L
10 32 4 6 22 31:78 -47 18
L W L D L