Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
65%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
68.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Progreso
Albion FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Progreso
18 matches
Albion FC
18 matches
| Progreso | Statistic | Albion FC |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 11 | Losses | 5 |
| 15 | Goals For | 27 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Albion FC's more proactive style and Progreso's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Albion FC. Albion FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 28 points while Progreso sit 15 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Albion FC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 10 points from 15 games and a place of 15, Progreso still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 12:23 goal record continues to suggest poor form . Their attacking burden often falls on N. Lopez (3 goals), G. Silva (2 goals), M. Copelotti (2 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Albion FC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 28 points from 15 matches. The record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 26:16 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Lopez (13 goals), C. Airala (4 goals), F. Ginella (3 goals), with creative support from A. Lopez (1 assists), C. Airala (1 assists), S. Costa (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Progreso won 2 times, Albion FC won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:9 from Progreso's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
Lineups
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Wanderers
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Penarol
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Boston River
Progreso
Cerro
Progreso
Albion FC
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Club Nacional
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Central Espanol
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Wanderers
Albion FC
Danubio
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
Central Espanol
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
Wanderers
Albion FC
Juventud
Albion FC
Penarol
Albion FC
Progreso
Albion FC
Racing Montevideo
Albion FC
Boston River
Albion FC
Cerro
Albion FC
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Wanderers
Progreso
Penarol
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Boston River
Progreso
Albion FC
Progreso
Club Nacional
Progreso
Central Espanol
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Cerro
Progreso
Wanderers
Progreso
Miramar
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Danubio
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
Juventud
Albion FC
Progreso
Albion FC
Boston River