Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
81.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Nzoia Sugar
Kibera Black Stars
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nzoia Sugar
37 matches
Kibera Black Stars
37 matches
| Nzoia Sugar | Statistic | Kibera Black Stars |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 15 |
| 14 | Draws | 8 |
| 12 | Losses | 14 |
| 36 | Goals For | 32 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.86 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.86 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 18 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kibera Black Stars. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kibera Black Stars having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
So far, Nzoia Sugar have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 47 points from 37 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 14 draws, and 12 losses, while the 36:36 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Kibera Black Stars sit 9 with 53 points after 37 league matches. The record of 15 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 32:32 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Nzoia Sugar won 2 times, Kibera Black Stars won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Nzoia Sugar's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.
Nzoia Sugar
Mombasa Elite
Nzoia Sugar
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
Talanta
Nzoia Sugar
Naivas
Nzoia Sugar
MCF
Nzoia Sugar
Luanda Villa
Nzoia Sugar
Kabati Youth FC
Nzoia Sugar
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
Darajani Gogo
Nzoia Sugar
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
3K
Nzoia Sugar
Mwatate United
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
Kisumu All Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Vihiga United FC
Nzoia Sugar
Gucha Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
MCF
Kibera Black Stars
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
Nairobi City Stars
Kibera Black Stars
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
3K
Kibera Black Stars
Mwatate United
Kibera Black Stars
Gucha Stars
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
Kibera Black Stars
Luanda Villa
Kibera Black Stars
Mombasa Elite
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
Talanta
Kibera Black Stars
Kisumu All Stars
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
Darajani Gogo
Kibera Black Stars
Kabati Youth FC
Kibera Black Stars
Equity Bank
Kibera Black Stars
Soy United
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
Nzoia Sugar
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
Naivas
Nzoia Sugar
Luanda Villa
Nzoia Sugar
Darajani Gogo
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
Mwatate United
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Gucha Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
Kabati Youth FC
Nzoia Sugar
MCF
Nzoia Sugar
Kisumu All Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Vihiga United FC
Nzoia Sugar
Mombasa Elite
Nzoia Sugar
Talanta
Nzoia Sugar
3K
Kibera Black Stars
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
Mwatate United
Kibera Black Stars
Luanda Villa
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
Talanta
Kibera Black Stars
Darajani Gogo
Kibera Black Stars
Equity Bank
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
Mombasa Elite
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
Kibera Black Stars
Gucha Stars
Kibera Black Stars
3K
Kibera Black Stars
Kabati Youth FC
Kibera Black Stars
Soy United
Kibera Black Stars
MCF
Kibera Black Stars
Nairobi City Stars
Kibera Black Stars
Kisumu All Stars
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | 28 | 81 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | 36 | 77 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | 19 | 76 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 74 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | 21 | 64 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | 20 | 63 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | 17 | 61 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | 12 | 57 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Kibera Black Stars
Away
|
38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | -1 | 53 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | 4 | 52 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 |
Nzoia Sugar
Home
|
38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 50 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | -6 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | -21 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | -20 | 39 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | -24 | 39 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | -12 | 39 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | -21 | 38 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | -18 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | -26 | 30 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | -37 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|