🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Referee: P. Lauziere
New York Red Bulls
Match Timeline
Columbus Crew
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
J. Hall · Assist: C. Cowell
New York Red Bulls
22'
M. Arfsten · Assist: H. Picard
Columbus Crew
40'
J. Hall · Assist: C. Cowell
New York Red Bulls
VAR
42'
Julian Hall
New York Red Bulls
🟨
45+3'
Taha Habroune
Columbus Crew
🔄
46'
M. Dos Santos ↔ O. Valencia
New York Red Bulls
🔄
60'
D. Gazdag ↔ D. Rossi
Columbus Crew
🔄
60'
O. Presthus ↔ M. Farsi
Columbus Crew
64'
D. Rossi
Columbus Crew
🔄
65'
E. Forsberg ↔ G. Berggren
New York Red Bulls
🔄
65'
D. Nealis ↔ J. Che
New York Red Bulls
🔄
65'
C. Cowell ↔ R. Mosquera
New York Red Bulls
🟨
68'
Jorge Ruvalcaba
New York Red Bulls
🟨
71'
Rudy Camacho
Columbus Crew
78'
J. Hall
New York Red Bulls
🟨
83'
Omar Valencia
New York Red Bulls
🔄
85'
J. Hall ↔ R. Mitchell
New York Red Bulls
🔄
85'
T. Habroune ↔ N. Akhundzade
Columbus Crew
🔄
85'
S. Bangoura ↔ A. Sejdic
Columbus Crew
🟨
90+7'
Rafael Mosquera
New York Red Bulls

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
68.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
New York Red Bulls Win 49.2%
Draw 15.2%
Columbus Crew Win 35.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
New York Red Bulls1.67
Columbus Crew1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
WWDLW
32 GF / 41 GA
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
WLDWL
20 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
1.43
2.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
12
BTTS Yes
9
14
Over 2.5
9
5.08
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 18 matches
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 14 matches
New York Red Bulls Statistic Columbus Crew
6 Wins 4
3 Draws 3
9 Losses 7
32 Goals For 20
41 Goals Against 21
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
2.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
12 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 11
14 Over 2.5 9
11 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 4
5.08 Shots On Goal 4.33
13.92 Total Shots 12.17
6.5 Corners 6.08
55.8% Ball Possession 55.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Columbus Crew having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Columbus Crew. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

New York Red Bulls Analysis

New York Red Bulls sit 9 with 15 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 19:28, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Hall (6 goals), J. Ruvalcaba (4 goals), E. M. Choupo-Moting (2 goals), with creative support from Ronald Donkor (4 assists), E. Forsberg (3 assists), J. Hall (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Marcucci, C. Harper unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Columbus Crew Analysis

With 12 points from 12 games and a place of 12, Columbus Crew still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 16:19 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on W. Abou Ali (5 goals), D. Rossi (4 goals), M. Arfsten (3 goals), with creative support from M. Arfsten (4 assists), T. Habroune (2 assists), W. Abou Ali (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without M. Amundsen, W. Abou Ali, J. Thiare, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, New York Red Bulls won 5 times, Columbus Crew won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from New York Red Bulls's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.8%)
Predicted formations: New York Red Bulls 4-4-2 / Columbus Crew 4-4-2
Missing players: New York Red Bulls 2, Columbus Crew 3
H2H summary: New York Red Bulls wins 5, draws 3, Columbus Crew wins 6
Stats
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
3 Corner Kicks 2
17 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 3
31% Ball Possession 69%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
299 Total passes 691
221 Passes accurate 606
2.79 expected_goals 1.51
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Columbus Crew
Formation
New York Red Bulls
P. Schulte
P. Schulte
S. Moreira
S. Moreira
R. Camacho
R. Camacho
S. Zawadzki
S. Zawadzki
O. Presthus
O. Presthus
M. Arfsten
M. Arfsten
A. Gomes
A. Gomes
S. Bangoura
S. Bangoura
H. Picard
🎯
H. Picard
D. Gazdag
D. Gazdag
T. Habroune
T. Habroune
E. Horvath
E. Horvath
J. Marshall-Rutty
J. Marshall-Rutty
T. Parker
T. Parker
D. Nealis
D. Nealis
M. Dos Santos
M. Dos Santos
R. Donkor
R. Donkor
A. Mehmeti
A. Mehmeti
E. Forsberg
E. Forsberg
C. Cowell
🎯
C. Cowell
J. Hall
⚽ 3
J. Hall
J. Ruvalcaba
J. Ruvalcaba
Columbus Crew 4-4-2
Starting XI
28
P. Schulte
G
31
S. Moreira
D
4
R. Camacho
🟨 71'
D
25
S. Zawadzki
D
45
O. Presthus
↓ 60'
D
27
M. Arfsten
⚽ 22'
M
20
A. Gomes
M
17
S. Bangoura
↓ 85'
M
30
H. Picard
🎯 22'
M
8
D. Gazdag
↓ 60'
F
16
T. Habroune
↓ 85' 🟨 45+3'
F
Substitutes
1
N. Hagen
G
10
D. Rossi
⚽ 64' ↑ 60'
M
2
A. Herrera
D
90
N. Akhundzade
↑ 85'
F
46
C. Adams
21
Y. Cheberko
D
14
A. Sejdic
↑ 85'
M
23
M. Farsi
↑ 60'
D
12
C. Ruvalcaba
D
New York Red Bulls 4-3-3 (estimated)
Starting XI
34
E. Horvath
G
3
J. Marshall-Rutty
D
26
T. Parker
D
12
D. Nealis
↓ 65'
D
56
M. Dos Santos
↓ 46'
D
48
R. Donkor
M
15
A. Mehmeti
M
10
E. Forsberg
↓ 65'
M
7
C. Cowell
🎯 7' 🎯 40' ↓ 65'
F
16
J. Hall
⚽ 7' ⚽ 40' ⚽ 78' ↓ 85'
F
11
J. Ruvalcaba
🟨 68'
F
Substitutes
77
J. McCarthy
G
4
G. Berggren
↑ 65'
M
6
R. Voloder
D
2
J. Che
↑ 65'
D
33
R. Mitchell
↑ 85'
F
79
R. Mosquera
↑ 65' 🟨 90+7'
F
5
O. Valencia
↑ 46' 🟨 83'
D
37
M. Sofo
F
39
N. Benedetti
M
Last matches: New York Red Bulls
24.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
2
1
W
16.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
1
1
D
09.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
3
1
W
02.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
2
L
25.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
0
2
L
22.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
DC United
4
4
D
18.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
1
4
L
11.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
2
2
D
04.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
4
2
W
21.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
1
6
L
14.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
1
1
D
08.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
0
3
L
28.02.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution
1
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC
2
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Houston Dynamo
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
2
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Hartford Athletic
5
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City
3
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Sarasota Paradise
1
3
L
Last matches: Columbus Crew
24.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
16.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
1
1
D
10.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
0
3
L
02.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
2
3
L
25.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
2
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
2
L
12.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
3
1
W
21.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
1
2
L
14.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
01.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Sporting Kansas City
2
2
D
22.02.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Portland Timbers
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Columbus Crew
Colorado Rapids
4
1
W
H2H: New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew
13.05.26
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
18.10.25
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
3
1
L
30.08.25
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
0
0
D
10.11.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
0
0
D
03.11.24
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
2
2
D
29.10.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
0
1
W
20.10.24
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
2
3
L
16.03.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
3
0
L
01.07.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
2
1
L
18.03.23
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
2
1
W
01.10.22
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
2
1
L
20.03.22
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
23.10.21
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
1
2
W
14.09.21
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
2
1
L
19.08.21
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
1
0
W
Last matches: New York Red Bulls
16.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
1
1
D
02.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
2
L
22.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
DC United
4
4
D
04.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
4
2
W
08.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
0
3
L
28.02.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Hartford Athletic
5
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City
3
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Sarasota Paradise
1
3
L
H2H at home: New York Red Bulls
13.05.26
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
30.08.25
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
0
0
D
03.11.24
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
2
2
D
20.10.24
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
2
3
L
18.03.23
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
2
1
W
20.03.22
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
19.08.21
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
1
0
W
Last matches: Columbus Crew
16.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
1
1
D
10.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
0
3
L
18.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
3
1
W
21.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
1
2
L
01.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Sporting Kansas City
2
2
D
22.02.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Portland Timbers
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Columbus Crew
Colorado Rapids
4
1
W
H2H away: Columbus Crew
13.05.26
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
3
2
L
30.08.25
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
0
0
D
03.11.24
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
2
2
D
20.10.24
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
2
3
W
18.03.23
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
2
1
L
20.03.22
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
19.08.21
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
1
0
L

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 3 1 31:11 20 33
W W W D D
2 15 9 4 2 39:28 11 31
W W W W L
3 14 8 2 4 27:16 11 26
W W W L L
4 14 8 1 5 22:18 4 25
L W L W W
5 15 6 4 5 25:32 -7 22
W D W W L
6 15 6 3 6 24:23 1 21
W W L D L
7 15 5 5 5 36:37 -1 20
W D L D W
8 15 5 4 6 25:21 4 19
L D W W L
9 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D D L D W
10 15 4 4 7 21:23 -2 16
W D L L L
11 14 4 2 8 22:31 -9 14
D L D W L
12 15 4 2 9 23:44 -21 14
L D W L W
13 14 3 5 6 22:29 -7 14
L L L D L
14 14 3 2 9 14:23 -9 11
L D L W W
15 15 1 4 10 18:30 -12 7
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

New York Red Bulls 2 missing
-
A. Marcucci
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
C. Harper
Questionable Muscle Injury
OUT
Columbus Crew 3 missing
-
M. Amundsen
Questionable Thigh Injury
OUT
-
W. Abou Ali
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Thiare
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT