Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
84.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
76%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
68.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
New York Red Bulls
18 matches
Columbus Crew
14 matches
| New York Red Bulls | Statistic | Columbus Crew |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 9 | Losses | 7 |
| 32 | Goals For | 20 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.78 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 2.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.08 | Shots On Goal | 4.33 |
| 13.92 | Total Shots | 12.17 |
| 6.5 | Corners | 6.08 |
| 55.8% | Ball Possession | 55.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Columbus Crew having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Columbus Crew. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
New York Red Bulls sit 9 with 15 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 19:28, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Hall (6 goals), J. Ruvalcaba (4 goals), E. M. Choupo-Moting (2 goals), with creative support from Ronald Donkor (4 assists), E. Forsberg (3 assists), J. Hall (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Marcucci, C. Harper unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
With 12 points from 12 games and a place of 12, Columbus Crew still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 16:19 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on W. Abou Ali (5 goals), D. Rossi (4 goals), M. Arfsten (3 goals), with creative support from M. Arfsten (4 assists), T. Habroune (2 assists), W. Abou Ali (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without M. Amundsen, W. Abou Ali, J. Thiare, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, New York Red Bulls won 5 times, Columbus Crew won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from New York Red Bulls's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.
New York Red Bulls
6
4
4
6
3
2
Lineups
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
DC United
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls
Houston Dynamo
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
Hartford Athletic
New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City
New York Red Bulls
Sarasota Paradise
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Los Angeles Galaxy
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
Sporting Kansas City
Columbus Crew
Portland Timbers
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew
Colorado Rapids
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
DC United
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
Hartford Athletic
New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City
New York Red Bulls
Sarasota Paradise
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
Sporting Kansas City
Columbus Crew
Portland Timbers
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew
Colorado Rapids
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 20 | 33 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 11 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 26 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
New York Red Bulls
Home
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | -7 | 22 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | -1 | 20 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 19 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
Columbus Crew
Away
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 16 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:31 | -9 | 14 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | -21 | 14 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 14 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 7 |
L
D
L
L
D
|