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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
29.04.2026 06:00
Toyota Stadium
Referee: D. Shiino
Nagoya Grampus
Match Timeline
Fagiano Okayama
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Ataru Esaka
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
46'
R. Izumi ↔ H. Koda
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
46'
Werik Popo ↔ Lucao
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
46'
N. Browne ↔ T. Yamane
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
59'
Y. Yamagishi ↔ S. Sugiura
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
59'
T. Kimura ↔ J. Nishikawa
Fagiano Okayama
⚽
65'
H. Koda
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
67'
M. Matsumoto ↔ Leo Gaucho
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
70'
T. Morishima ↔ K. Mikuni
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
80'
Y. Asano ↔ M. Ono
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
80'
A. Esaka ↔ K. Kawano
Fagiano Okayama
🟨
85'
Kosei Ogura
Fagiano Okayama
⚽
89'
D. Tagami · Assist: K. Ogura
Fagiano Okayama
🟨
94'
Daniel Schmidt
Nagoya Grampus
VAR
97'
Kota Kawano
Fagiano Okayama

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 75.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 23.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 46.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
75.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
23.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
46.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT 1-1
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Nagoya Grampus Win 49.9%
Draw 25.4%
Fagiano Okayama Win 24.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nagoya Grampus1.62
Fagiano Okayama1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
WWDLW
20 GF / 15 GA
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
WLDWL
14 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
7
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
5
4.58
Shots on Goal
3.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 matches
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 13 matches
Nagoya Grampus Statistic Fagiano Okayama
5 Wins 3
4 Draws 5
3 Losses 5
20 Goals For 14
15 Goals Against 20
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
7 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
4.58 Shots On Goal 3.08
14 Total Shots 11.5
4.92 Corners 5.58
52.2% Ball Possession 41.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 5 times, Fagiano Okayama won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:4 from Nagoya Grampus's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (75.3%)
Predicted formations: Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1 / Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Nagoya Grampus wins 5, draws 3, Fagiano Okayama wins 0

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2 18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3 18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4 18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5 18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6 18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7 18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8 18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9 18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10 18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)