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MONTENEGRO › FIRST LEAGUE
07.08.2026 18:00
Stadion Topolica
Mornar
Match Timeline
Arsenal Tivat
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Y. S. Sesay
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
55'
A. Golub ↔ V. Kascelan
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
65'
J. Dasic ↔ M. Rovcanin
Mornar
🔄
65'
Y. Yao ↔ B. Dubljevic
Mornar
🟨
75'
G. Petovic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
79'
P. Raznatovic ↔ M. Djukanovic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
79'
S. Sesay ↔ K. Vujacic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
81'
V. Ljutica ↔ N. Vujnovic
Mornar
🟨
85'
B. Zogovic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
90+3'
R. Kaneda ↔ M. Maras
Arsenal Tivat

Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Mornar Win 61.3%
Draw 19.7%
Arsenal Tivat Win 19%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mornar1.62
Arsenal Tivat0.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mornar Mornar
WWDLW
7 GF / 9 GA
Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat
WLDWL
5 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
0.63
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.88
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mornar Mornar 9 matches
Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat 8 matches
Mornar Statistic Arsenal Tivat
2 Wins 1
3 Draws 1
4 Losses 6
7 Goals For 5
9 Goals Against 23
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 0.63
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.88
4 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mornar won 5 times, Arsenal Tivat won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:14 from Mornar's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (81%)
H2H summary: Mornar wins 5, draws 6, Arsenal Tivat wins 4

Standings

Prva Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 17:12 5 17
D W W L W
2 9 4 3 2 10:7 3 15
D L D L W
3 9 4 3 2 8:5 3 15
W D W L D
4 9 4 2 3 11:7 4 14
W W W L D
5 9 4 2 3 11:7 4 14
W W W D W
6 10 3 5 2 12:10 2 14
D D L L W
7 10 3 2 5 10:17 -7 11
D L L W W
8 10 2 4 4 12:18 -6 10
D L D L W
9 9 1 5 3 7:9 -2 8
L L D D D
10 9 1 4 4 5:11 -6 7
L W L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Prva Crnogorska Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga Liga