Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
55.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
47.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Mombasa Elite
Nzoia Sugar
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mombasa Elite
35 matches
Nzoia Sugar
36 matches
| Mombasa Elite | Statistic | Nzoia Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 11 |
| 3 | Draws | 14 |
| 10 | Losses | 11 |
| 47 | Goals For | 36 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.97 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 17 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nzoia Sugar. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nzoia Sugar having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Mombasa Elite arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 72 points compared to Nzoia Sugar in 11 on 47, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Mombasa Elite come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 72 points from 36 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 23 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, while the 49:31 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 16 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
So far, Nzoia Sugar have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 47 points from 36 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 14 draws, and 11 losses, while the 36:35 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Mombasa Elite won 2 times, Nzoia Sugar won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Mombasa Elite's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.
Mombasa Elite
Naivas
Mombasa Elite
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
3K
Mombasa Elite
Mwatate United
Mombasa Elite
Nairobi City Stars
Mombasa Elite
Talanta
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
Gucha Stars
Mombasa Elite
Soy United
Mombasa Elite
Kibera Black Stars
Mombasa Elite
Vihiga United FC
Mombasa Elite
MCF
Mombasa Elite
Fortune Sacco
Mombasa Elite
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
Equity Bank
Mombasa Elite
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
Darajani Gogo
Mombasa Elite
Kisumu All Stars
Mombasa Elite
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
Vihiga United FC
Nzoia Sugar
Kibera Black Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
Talanta
Nzoia Sugar
Naivas
Nzoia Sugar
MCF
Nzoia Sugar
Luanda Villa
Nzoia Sugar
Kabati Youth FC
Nzoia Sugar
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
Darajani Gogo
Nzoia Sugar
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
3K
Nzoia Sugar
Mwatate United
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
Kisumu All Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Vihiga United FC
Nzoia Sugar
Gucha Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
3K
Mombasa Elite
Nairobi City Stars
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
Soy United
Mombasa Elite
Vihiga United FC
Mombasa Elite
MCF
Mombasa Elite
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
Kisumu All Stars
Mombasa Elite
Kibera Black Stars
Mombasa Elite
Mwatate United
Mombasa Elite
Talanta
Mombasa Elite
Equity Bank
Mombasa Elite
Darajani Gogo
Mombasa Elite
Naivas
Mombasa Elite
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
Talanta
Nzoia Sugar
MCF
Nzoia Sugar
Kabati Youth FC
Nzoia Sugar
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
3K
Nzoia Sugar
Kisumu All Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Vihiga United FC
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
Darajani Gogo
Nzoia Sugar
Luanda Villa
Nzoia Sugar
Naivas
Nzoia Sugar
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Gucha Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Kibera Black Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
Mwatate United
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | 28 | 81 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | 36 | 77 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
Mombasa Elite
Home
|
38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | 19 | 76 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 74 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | 21 | 64 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | 20 | 63 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | 17 | 61 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | 12 | 57 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | -1 | 53 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | 4 | 52 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 |
Nzoia Sugar
Away
|
38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 50 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | -6 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | -21 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | -20 | 39 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | -24 | 39 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | -12 | 39 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | -21 | 38 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | -18 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | -26 | 30 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | -37 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|