ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
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Referee: S. Zunino

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.9%
Odds 2.84
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 2.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.9%
2.84
BTTS Yes
71%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
2.75
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.51
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Lanus Win 33.6%
Draw 16.5%
Argentinos JRS Win 49.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lanus0.95
Argentinos JRS1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lanus Lanus
WWDLW
32 GF / 33 GA
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS
WLDWL
32 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
10
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
8
4.18
Shots on Goal
5.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lanus Lanus 30 matches
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 27 matches
Lanus Statistic Argentinos JRS
12 Wins 15
6 Draws 7
12 Losses 5
32 Goals For 32
33 Goals Against 21
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
10 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 3
12 Clean Sheets 13
11 Failed To Score 6
4.18 Shots On Goal 5.04
12.93 Total Shots 13.73
4.86 Corners 5.38
52.4% Ball Possession 62.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lanus expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Argentinos JRS in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Argentinos JRS having the stronger overall control. Argentinos JRS look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Argentinos JRS.

Lanus Analysis

Lanus sit 6 with 24 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats with a 18:15 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Yoshan Valois (4 goals), Dylan Aquino (1 goals), Felipe Peña Biafore (1 goals), with creative support from Yoshan Valois (1 assists), Dylan Aquino (1 assists), Sasha Marcich (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Argentinos JRS Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 29 points from 16 games, Argentinos JRS bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a 17:13 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Tomás Molina (4 goals), Alan Lescano (3 goals), Hernán López Muñoz (2 goals), with creative support from Tomás Molina (2 assists), Hernán López Muñoz (2 assists), Sebastián Prieto (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Lanus won 2 times, Argentinos JRS won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:16 from Lanus's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.69 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
Predicted formations: Lanus 4-2-3-1 / Argentinos JRS 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Lanus wins 2, draws 3, Argentinos JRS wins 8
Last matches: Lanus
17.08.26
Lig
Lanus
Independiente
1
3
L
12.08.26
Lig
Lanus
Talleres Cordoba
3
0
W
06.08.26
Lig
Lanus
Union Santa Fe
1
2
L
03.08.26
Lig
Lanus
Instituto Cordoba
0
1
L
26.07.26
Lig
Lanus
San Lorenzo
1
0
W
30.05.26
Cop
Lanus
Instituto Cordoba
1
2
L
26.05.26
CON
Lanus
Mirassol
1
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Lanus
LDU de Quito
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
0
2
L
06.05.26
CON
Lanus
Always Ready
0
4
L
02.05.26
Lig
Lanus
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
28.04.26
CON
Lanus
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0
0
D
21.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Gimnasia M.
0
1
L
16.04.26
CON
Lanus
Always Ready
1
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Banfield
1
0
W
08.04.26
CON
Lanus
Mirassol
0
1
L
01.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Platense
0
0
D
27.03.26
Lig
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Lanus
Velez Sarsfield
1
0
W
Last matches: Argentinos JRS
16.08.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
River Plate
0
2
L
09.08.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Racing Club
2
1
W
01.08.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Belgrano Cordoba
1
0
W
29.07.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
3
0
W
23.07.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Sarmiento Junin
3
2
W
17.05.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Belgrano Cordoba
1
1
D
13.05.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Huracan
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Lanus
2
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Gimnasia L.P.
0
2
L
28.04.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Huracan
2
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Atletico Tucuman
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Independ. Rivadavia
1
3
L
06.04.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Banfield
3
2
W
31.03.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Aldosivi
2
0
W
27.03.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Lanus
2
1
W
23.03.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Platense
1
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Tigre
1
1
D
11.03.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Rosario Central
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Barracas Central
1
1
D
26.02.26
CON
Argentinos JRS
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
H2H: Lanus vs Argentinos JRS
10.05.26
H2H
Argentinos JRS
Lanus
2
0
L
27.03.26
H2H
Argentinos JRS
Lanus
2
1
L
09.09.25
H2H
Argentinos JRS
Lanus
1
0
L
30.07.24
H2H
Argentinos JRS
Lanus
2
0
L
21.03.23
H2H
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
0
0
D
06.10.22
H2H
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
0
4
L
30.10.21
H2H
Argentinos JRS
Lanus
0
1
W
16.03.20
H2H
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
0
1
L
08.02.20
H2H
Argentinos JRS
Lanus
0
0
D
07.09.19
H2H
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
4
1
W
31.08.18
H2H
Argentinos JRS
Lanus
2
0
L
28.04.18
H2H
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
0
0
D
05.04.15
H2H
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
0
1
L
Last matches: Lanus
17.08.26
Lig
Lanus
Independiente
1
3
L
03.08.26
Lig
Lanus
Instituto Cordoba
0
1
L
26.07.26
Lig
Lanus
San Lorenzo
1
0
W
26.05.26
CON
Lanus
Mirassol
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Lanus
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
28.04.26
CON
Lanus
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0
0
D
16.04.26
CON
Lanus
Always Ready
1
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Banfield
1
0
W
01.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Platense
0
0
D
17.03.26
Lig
Lanus
Newells Old Boys
5
0
W
05.03.26
Lig
Lanus
Boca Juniors
0
3
L
09.02.26
Lig
Lanus
Talleres Cordoba
1
1
D
29.01.26
Lig
Lanus
Union Santa Fe
2
1
W
19.01.26
Cop
Lanus
Sarmiento de La Banda
4
1
W
H2H at home: Lanus
21.03.23
H2H
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
0
0
D
06.10.22
H2H
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
0
4
L
16.03.20
H2H
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
0
1
L
07.09.19
H2H
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
4
1
W
28.04.18
H2H
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
0
0
D
05.04.15
H2H
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
0
1
L
Last matches: Argentinos JRS
16.08.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
River Plate
0
2
L
01.08.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Belgrano Cordoba
1
0
W
23.07.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Sarmiento Junin
3
2
W
03.05.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Gimnasia L.P.
0
2
L
28.04.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Huracan
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Independ. Rivadavia
1
3
L
31.03.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Aldosivi
2
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Tigre
1
1
D
19.02.26
CON
Argentinos JRS
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Racing Club
1
2
L
30.01.26
Lig
Argentinos JRS
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
0
D
H2H away: Argentinos JRS
21.03.23
H2H
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
0
0
D
06.10.22
H2H
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
0
4
W
16.03.20
H2H
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
0
1
W
07.09.19
H2H
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
4
1
L
28.04.18
H2H
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
0
0
D
05.04.15
H2H
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
0
1
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.84
Draw 2.89
Home 2.86
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.69
Draw 1.94
Home 3.69
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.54
Over 1.75 1.70
Over 2.0 2.02
Over 2.25 2.39
Over 2.5 2.75
Over 3.5 5.55
Under 0.5 6.23
Under 1.5 2.50
Under 1.75 2.17
Under 2.0 1.83
Under 2.25 1.59
Under 2.5 1.46
Under 3.5 1.15
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.80
Home 2.88
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 1.91
Home 3.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 2.10
Home 3.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.53
Over 2.5 2.70
Over 3.5 5.50
Over 4.5 13.00
Over 5.5 29.00
Under 0.5 6.00
Under 1.5 2.38
Under 2.5 1.44
Under 3.5 1.14
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.83
Draw 2.89
Home 2.82
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.68
Draw 1.79
Home 3.65
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.18
Draw 2.10
Home 3.18
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 0.75 1.10
Over 1.0 1.14
Over 1.25 1.37
Over 1.5 1.58
Over 1.75 1.76
Over 2.0 1.99
Over 2.25 2.31
Over 2.5 2.64
Over 2.75 3.20
Over 3.0 4.55
Over 3.25 5.00
Over 3.5 5.45
Over 3.75 7.85
Over 4.0 9.10
Over 4.5 11.50
Over 5.5 23.00
Under 0.5 5.95
Under 0.75 5.37
Under 1.0 4.65
Under 1.25 3.08
Under 1.5 2.37
Under 1.75 2.06
Under 2.0 1.70
Under 2.25 1.49
Under 2.5 1.38
Under 2.75 1.26
Under 3.0 1.13
Under 3.25 1.10
Under 3.5 1.08
Under 3.75 1.04
Under 4.0 1.02
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 2.80
Home 2.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.55
Draw 1.80
Home 3.45
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 2.10
Home 3.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.61
Over 2.0 2.18
Over 2.5 2.95
Over 3.5 6.10
Over 4.5 13.00
Under 0.5 5.80
Under 1.5 2.25
Under 2.0 1.64
Under 2.5 1.37
Under 3.5 1.11
Under 4.5 1.01

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L L W L
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
D D W D L
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D D W W W
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L L W L L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
D W L L W
6
Lanus Home
16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
L W L L W
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
D W L L W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
W L L W L
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
D W W W W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
D W L W D
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
W W L W L
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
D W L L D
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L W W L L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
W W L D L
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
D L W L L
Knockout Phase