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UKRAINE › PREMIER LEAGUE
05.09.2026 15:00
Ukraina Stadium
Referee: Oleksandr Afanasev, Ukraine
Karpaty
Match Timeline
Shakhtar Donetsk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
N. Rusyn · Assist: I. Calero
Karpaty
🟨
22'
Moha Moukhliss
Karpaty
⚽
25'
Luca Meirelles
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
34'
Valerii Bondar
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
55'
Newerton Palmares
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
59'
Fellipe Vieira ↔ J. Sery
Karpaty
🔄
64'
Luca Meirelles ↔ Kaua Elias
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
64'
Y. Nazaryna ↔ Isaque Silva
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
64'
Newerton ↔ G. Mendoza
Shakhtar Donetsk
⚽
67'
Alisson · Assist: Isaque Silva
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
70'
Alisson ↔ Lucas Ferreira
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
79'
R. Vantukh ↔ D. Miroshnichenko
Karpaty
🔄
79'
I. Calero ↔ B. Iglesias Lois
Karpaty
🔄
79'
N. Rusyn ↔ Joaquinete
Karpaty
🟨
81'
Lucas Ferreira
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
88'
X. Alkain ↔ Y. Karabin
Karpaty
🔄
90+2'
Marlon Gomes ↔ D. Kryskiv
Shakhtar Donetsk

Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57%
Odds 4.51
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.96
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57%
4.51 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.96 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.31 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
51.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Karpaty Win 57%
Draw 6.8%
Shakhtar Donetsk Win 36.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Karpaty1.41
Shakhtar Donetsk1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Karpaty Karpaty
WWDLW
33 GF / 15 GA
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
WLDWL
30 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
2.14
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
9
BTTS Yes
5
10
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Karpaty Karpaty 18 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 14 matches
Karpaty Statistic Shakhtar Donetsk
9 Wins 8
4 Draws 3
5 Losses 3
33 Goals For 30
15 Goals Against 11
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 2.14
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
9 BTTS Yes 5
13 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Karpaty won 0 times, Shakhtar Donetsk won 12 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:45 from Karpaty's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
Predicted formations: Karpaty 4-2-3-1 / Shakhtar Donetsk 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Karpaty wins 0, draws 3, Shakhtar Donetsk wins 12

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 18:4 14 21
W W W W L
2 7 6 0 1 15:5 10 18
W W W W L
3 7 5 0 2 14:5 9 15
W W W W L
4 7 4 2 1 15:5 10 14
D W L D W
5 6 4 1 1 9:5 4 13
W W D L W
6 8 2 3 3 6:9 -3 9
L W D D W
7 7 2 2 3 6:7 -1 8
L L D W D
8 7 2 2 3 5:8 -3 8
L W D L W
9 7 2 2 3 7:11 -4 8
L D D L W
10 6 1 4 1 4:3 1 7
W L D D D
11 7 1 4 2 4:6 -2 7
L D D W L
12 7 1 2 4 4:9 -5 5
L D L D W
13 6 1 2 3 6:10 -4 5
W L D D L
14 6 1 2 3 7:10 -3 5
L D L D W
15 7 0 4 3 2:12 -10 4
D L L D D
16 7 0 2 5 5:18 -13 2
L L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga