ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Hiiu Stadium
Referee: K. Koppel
Kalju Nomme
Match Timeline
Nõmme United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
R. Siht · Assist: D. Tarassenkov
Kalju Nomme
20'
Z. Beglarishvili
Nõmme United
22'
N. Ivanov · Assist: R. Siht
Kalju Nomme
🔄
54'
S. Merilai ↔ A. Truuvaart
Nõmme United
🔄
60'
D. Sotsugov ↔ K. Kask
Kalju Nomme
🔄
60'
I. Jabir ↔ M. Mannilaan
Kalju Nomme
60'
B. Vastsuk · Assist: R. Siht
Kalju Nomme
🟨
61'
Y. Morishige
Nõmme United
65'
M. Mannilaan · Assist: N. Ivanov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
68'
H. Jarvelaid
Nõmme United
🔄
68'
B. Vastsuk ↔ T. Baptista
Kalju Nomme
🔄
68'
O. Dacosta ↔ M. Palts
Nõmme United
🔄
68'
H. Jarvelaid ↔ B. Vain
Nõmme United
🔄
68'
Y. Morishige ↔ B. Chisala
Nõmme United
🔄
76'
D. Tarassenkov ↔ M. Orlov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
76'
N. Ivanov ↔ A. Nikolajev
Kalju Nomme
81'
M. Orlov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
85'
G. Kabal ↔ R. Palu
Nõmme United
88'
T. Baptista · Assist: M. Orlov
Kalju Nomme
90'
K. Laanelaid
Kalju Nomme

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 72.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
72.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Kalju Nomme Win 67.4%
Draw 8.8%
Nõmme United Win 23.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kalju Nomme2.11
Nõmme United1.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme
WWDLW
31 GF / 14 GA
Nõmme United Nõmme United
WLDWL
37 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.94
Average Goals Scored
2.64
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
2.36
7
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 16 matches
Nõmme United Nõmme United 14 matches
Kalju Nomme Statistic Nõmme United
9 Wins 6
4 Draws 2
3 Losses 6
31 Goals For 37
14 Goals Against 33
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 2.64
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 2.36
7 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Nõmme United. Kalju Nomme arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 16 points compared to Nõmme United in 8 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Nõmme United arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nõmme United having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Kalju Nomme Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 16 points from 7 games, Kalju Nomme bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 11:2, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Mannilaan (4 goals), N. Ivanov (2 goals), D. Mashchenko (1 goals), with creative support from M. Orlov (2 assists), B. Vastsuk (1 assists), D. Tarassenkov (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Nõmme United Analysis

Nõmme United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 7 points from 7 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 16:12, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through O. Dacosta (4 goals), E. Ounapuu (3 goals), H. Jarvelaid (2 goals), with creative support from Z. Beglarishvili (4 assists), H. Jarvelaid (3 assists), K. Matas (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Kalju Nomme won 3 times, Nõmme United won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:2 from Kalju Nomme's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.2%)
H2H summary: Kalju Nomme wins 3, draws 2, Nõmme United wins 0

Lineups

Kalju Nomme
Formation
Nõmme United
H. Perk
H. Perk
D. Mashchenko
D. Mashchenko
R. Vukusic
R. Vukusic
M. Tambedou
M. Tambedou
D. Tarassenkov
🎯
D. Tarassenkov
O. Musolitin
O. Musolitin
R. Siht
🎯
R. Siht
B. Vastsuk
B. Vastsuk
D. Sotsugov
D. Sotsugov
I. Jabir
I. Jabir
N. Ivanov
🎯
N. Ivanov
G. Purg
G. Purg
R. Chanda
R. Chanda
Y. Morishige
Y. Morishige
K. Laanelaid
K. Laanelaid
S. Merilai
S. Merilai
G. Kabal
G. Kabal
A. Frolov
A. Frolov
H. Jarvelaid
H. Jarvelaid
Z. Beglarishvili
Z. Beglarishvili
O. Dacosta
O. Dacosta
K. Matas
K. Matas
Kalju Nomme 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
H. Perk
78
D. Mashchenko
46
R. Vukusic
20
M. Tambedou
7
D. Tarassenkov
🎯 18' ↓ 76'
8
O. Musolitin
26
R. Siht
⚽ 18' 🎯 22' 🎯 60'
59
B. Vastsuk
⚽ 60' ↓ 68'
88
D. Sotsugov
↓ 60'
30
I. Jabir
↓ 60'
10
N. Ivanov
⚽ 22' 🎯 65' ↓ 76'
Substitutes
69
M. Pavlov
2
J. Lillemets
4
A. Borolinstsikov
5
U. Korre
6
K. Kask
↑ 60'
11
M. Orlov
⚽ 81' 🎯 88' ↑ 76'
17
E. E. Lotar Eyang
21
T. Baptista
⚽ 88' ↑ 68'
22
A. Nikolajev
↑ 76'
24
A. Iljin
27
M. Mannilaan
⚽ 65' ↑ 60'
Nõmme United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
71
G. Purg
55
R. Chanda
2
Y. Morishige
↓ 68' 🟨 61'
23
K. Laanelaid
⚽ 90'
3
S. Merilai
↓ 54'
24
G. Kabal
↓ 85'
10
A. Frolov
45
H. Jarvelaid
↓ 68' 🟨 68'
49
Z. Beglarishvili
⚽ 20'
16
O. Dacosta
↓ 68'
20
K. Matas
Substitutes
1
G. Lagus
4
A. Alteberg
6
M. Palts
↑ 68'
8
B. Vain
↑ 68'
11
B. Chisala
↑ 68'
13
A. Truuvaart
↑ 54'
22
A. Radomskiy
26
K. Oostenbrink
31
A. Kaspar
66
R. Palu
↑ 85'
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
28.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
20.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
14.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
30.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
3
L
20.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
2
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
01.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
3
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
2
L
19.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
0
1
L
12.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
08.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
2
0
W
03.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
4
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
1
0
W
08.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
2
2
D
Last matches: Nõmme United
20.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Laagri
3
1
W
17.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
13.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
2
1
W
29.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
0
4
L
20.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
1
2
L
15.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Tammeka
1
3
L
10.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Paide
2
3
L
02.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Vaprus
3
2
W
25.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2
1
W
18.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Laagri
1
2
L
11.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
5
1
W
08.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Paide
1
3
L
04.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
21.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Tammeka
2
3
L
14.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Vaprus
7
1
W
07.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
0
3
L
20.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Viimsi
5
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FC Tallinn
3
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3
3
D
01.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
H2H: Kalju Nomme vs Nõmme United
22.04.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
7
1
W
18.09.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
3
0
W
19.07.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Kalju Nomme
0
4
W
28.05.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
1
1
D
17.03.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Kalju Nomme
0
0
D
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
28.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
14.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
20.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
26.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
2
L
12.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
03.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
4
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Rīgas FS
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
31.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
10.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Partizani
1
1
D
H2H at home: Kalju Nomme
22.04.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
7
1
W
18.09.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
3
0
W
28.05.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
1
1
D
Last matches: Nõmme United
20.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Laagri
3
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
2
1
W
20.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
1
2
L
15.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Tammeka
1
3
L
02.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Vaprus
3
2
W
08.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Paide
1
3
L
04.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
07.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
0
3
L
20.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Viimsi
5
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3
3
D
24.01.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
4
3
W
18.01.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
4
2
W
H2H away: Nõmme United
22.04.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
7
1
L
18.09.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
3
0
L
28.05.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
1
1
D

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 4 1 46:15 31 43
L D W W W
2 17 11 0 6 35:19 16 33
W L W L W
3 18 9 4 5 30:15 15 31
D D L D L
4 18 8 5 5 27:22 5 29
D W W D D
5 16 7 2 7 18:20 -2 23
W W D L W
6 17 7 2 8 21:31 -10 23
W L D W L
7 17 6 1 10 33:40 -7 19
W L W L L
8 17 6 1 10 21:30 -9 19
L L L W L
9 17 5 2 10 17:27 -10 17
L D W D W
10 17 3 1 13 11:40 -29 10
L D L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga