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20.04.2026 00:45
Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero
Referee: Cristian Galaz Sepulveda, Chile
Huachipato
Match Timeline
A. Italiano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
43'
Maximiliano Rodríguez
Huachipato
🟨
45+3'
Lucas Velásquez
Huachipato
⚽
45'
E. Matus
A. Italiano
🔄
53'
J. Figueroa ↔ M. Briceno
Huachipato
🔄
53'
C. Sepulveda ↔ E. Canete
Huachipato
⚽
55'
M. Fuentes · Assist: F. Mateos
A. Italiano
⚽
58'
L. Altamirano · Assist: M. Rodriguez
Huachipato
⚽
66'
L. Altamirano · Assist: G. Guaiquil
Huachipato
🟨
72'
Rafael Caroca
Huachipato
🟨
75'
Lionel Altamirano
Huachipato
🔄
77'
F. Troyansky ↔ R. Cabral
A. Italiano
🔄
77'
G. Chiaverano ↔ P. Guajardo
A. Italiano
🔄
81'
M. Rodriguez ↔ M. A. Leon Munoz
Huachipato
🔄
81'
L. Velasquez ↔ H. Antinirre
Huachipato
🔄
85'
G. Guaiquil ↔ K. Altez
Huachipato
🔄
85'
M. Fuentes ↔ D. Coelho
A. Italiano
🔄
85'
V. Zenteno ↔ J. Ahumada
A. Italiano
🟨
89'
Federico Mateos
A. Italiano
🟨
90+4'
Tomás Ahumada
A. Italiano
🔄
90+1'
R. Rebolledo ↔ D. Monreal
A. Italiano
⚽
90'
O. J. Rojas Munoz
Huachipato

Huachipato vs A. Italiano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 73.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
73.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Huachipato Win 100%
Draw 0%
A. Italiano Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Huachipato1.29
A. Italiano1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Huachipato Huachipato
WWDLW
16 GF / 15 GA
A. Italiano A. Italiano
WLDWL
11 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
5
BTTS Yes
2
7
Over 2.5
5
5.27
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Huachipato Huachipato 12 matches
A. Italiano A. Italiano 9 matches
Huachipato Statistic A. Italiano
5 Wins 3
1 Draws 1
6 Losses 5
16 Goals For 11
15 Goals Against 11
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
5 BTTS Yes 2
9 Over 1.5 5
7 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 4
5.27 Shots On Goal 3.33
13.45 Total Shots 9.56
4.27 Corners 3.89
49.4% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Huachipato's more proactive style and A. Italiano's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Huachipato expected to line up in 4-3-3 and A. Italiano in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward A. Italiano having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors A. Italiano. Huachipato arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 15 points compared to A. Italiano in 13 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Huachipato Analysis

Huachipato approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 15 points from 9 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 15:12, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Martinez (3 goals), M. Gutierrez (3 goals), L. Altamirano (2 goals), with creative support from M. Rodriguez (2 assists), L. Altamirano (1 assists), Claudio Sepúlveda (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

A. Italiano Analysis

A. Italiano sit 13 with 10 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 11:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Troyansky (3 goals), G. Chiaverano (3 goals), D. Coelho (1 goals), with creative support from E. Matus (3 assists), N. Aedo (2 assists), G. Chiaverano (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Huachipato won 7 times, A. Italiano won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:20 from Huachipato's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: Huachipato 4-3-3 / A. Italiano 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Huachipato wins 7, draws 3, A. Italiano wins 5

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 48:22 26 54
D D W W D
2 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
3 23 12 6 5 35:19 16 42
W W L L W
4 23 10 6 7 37:25 12 36
W L W W D
5 23 11 3 9 36:33 3 36
L W L W W
6 23 10 3 10 43:35 8 33
L W W L W
7 23 8 8 7 28:31 -3 32
L L L L W
8 23 9 4 10 25:26 -1 31
D L W D W
9 23 9 4 10 33:39 -6 31
W W W D L
10 23 7 9 7 34:38 -4 30
L W W D W
11 22 8 5 9 31:31 0 29
L L L W L
12 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
13 24 8 3 13 28:38 -10 27
L L W L L
14 24 7 4 13 35:45 -10 25
D W L W D
15 24 6 5 13 18:40 -22 23
D L L L W
16 23 4 5 14 19:40 -21 17
W L L D L