Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
81.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
73.5%
|
- |
Hertha BSC
Holstein Kiel
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Hertha BSC
30 matches
Holstein Kiel
30 matches
| Hertha BSC | Statistic | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 9 |
| 9 | Draws | 8 |
| 8 | Losses | 13 |
| 44 | Goals For | 39 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.47 | Shots On Goal | 3.7 |
| 12.33 | Total Shots | 12.2 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 5 |
| 48.8% | Ball Possession | 51.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Hertha BSC's more proactive style and Holstein Kiel's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Holstein Kiel. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hertha BSC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Holstein Kiel in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Holstein Kiel having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
So far, Hertha BSC have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 48 points from 30 matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 43:34 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Fabian Reese (11 goals), Jan Luca Schuler (8 goals), Marten Winkler (6 goals), with creative support from Fabian Reese (12 assists), Marten Winkler (6 assists), Michaël Cuisance (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
So far, Holstein Kiel have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 35 points from 30 matches. The record of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 36:43 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Phil Harres (7 goals), David Zec (6 goals), Jonas Therkelsen (4 goals), with creative support from Alexander Bernhardsson (7 assists), Adrián Kaprálik (3 assists), Phil Harres (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Hertha BSC won 2 times, Holstein Kiel won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Hertha BSC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.
Hertha BSC
3
1
13
2
7
3
Lineups
Hertha BSC
Arminia Bielefeld
Hertha BSC
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hertha BSC
1. FC Magdeburg
Hertha BSC
Eintracht Braunschweig
Hertha BSC
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Hertha BSC
Dynamo Dresden
Hertha BSC
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Hertha BSC
VfL Bochum
Hertha BSC
Preußen Münster
Hertha BSC
1. FC Nürnberg
Hertha BSC
SC Paderborn 07
Hertha BSC
Hannover 96
Hertha BSC
SV Elversberg
Hertha BSC
SV Darmstadt 98
Hertha BSC
Karlsruher SC
Hertha BSC
FC Schalke 04
Hertha BSC
Standard Liege
Hertha BSC
Arminia Bielefeld
Hertha BSC
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hertha BSC
1. FC Magdeburg
Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Magdeburg
Holstein Kiel
Eintracht Braunschweig
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Holstein Kiel
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Holstein Kiel
Preußen Münster
Holstein Kiel
VfL Bochum
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Nürnberg
Holstein Kiel
SV Darmstadt 98
Holstein Kiel
SV Elversberg
Holstein Kiel
Karlsruher SC
Holstein Kiel
FC Schalke 04
Holstein Kiel
Hannover 96
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
Holstein Kiel
Ferencvarosi TC
Holstein Kiel
Servette FC
Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Magdeburg
Hertha BSC
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hertha BSC
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Hertha BSC
VfL Bochum
Hertha BSC
1. FC Nürnberg
Hertha BSC
Hannover 96
Hertha BSC
SV Darmstadt 98
Hertha BSC
FC Schalke 04
Hertha BSC
Standard Liege
Hertha BSC
Arminia Bielefeld
Hertha BSC
1. FC Magdeburg
Hertha BSC
Eintracht Braunschweig
Hertha BSC
Dynamo Dresden
Hertha BSC
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Hertha BSC
Preußen Münster
Hertha BSC
SC Paderborn 07
Hertha BSC
SV Elversberg
Hertha BSC
Karlsruher SC
Hertha BSC
Hannover 96
Hertha BSC
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hertha BSC
1. FC Magdeburg
Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Holstein Kiel
VfL Bochum
Holstein Kiel
SV Darmstadt 98
Holstein Kiel
Karlsruher SC
Holstein Kiel
Hannover 96
Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
Ferencvarosi TC
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Magdeburg
Holstein Kiel
Eintracht Braunschweig
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Holstein Kiel
Preußen Münster
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Nürnberg
Holstein Kiel
SV Elversberg
Holstein Kiel
FC Schalke 04
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 50:31 | 19 | 70 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 64:39 | 25 | 62 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 59:45 | 14 | 62 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60:44 | 16 | 60 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 57:45 | 12 | 52 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52:47 | 5 | 52 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 |
Hertha BSC
Home
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 47:44 | 3 | 51 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 2 | 46 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49:47 | 2 | 44 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 53:64 | -11 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54:53 | 1 | 41 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Holstein Kiel
Away
|
34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 44:48 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 13 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 53:51 | 2 | 39 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 52:58 | -6 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | -18 | 37 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 49:68 | -19 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 33:53 | -20 | 37 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:61 | -23 | 30 |
L
D
D
L
L
|