Hertha BSC vs Holstein Kiel Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
81.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
73.5%
|
- |
Hertha BSC
Holstein Kiel
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Hertha BSC
30 matches
Holstein Kiel
30 matches
| Hertha BSC | Statistic | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 9 |
| 9 | Draws | 8 |
| 8 | Losses | 13 |
| 44 | Goals For | 39 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.47 | Shots On Goal | 3.7 |
| 12.33 | Total Shots | 12.2 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 5 |
| 48.8% | Ball Possession | 51.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Hertha BSC's more proactive style and Holstein Kiel's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Holstein Kiel. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hertha BSC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Holstein Kiel in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Holstein Kiel having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
So far, Hertha BSC have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 48 points from 30 matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 43:34 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Fabian Reese (11 goals), Jan Luca Schuler (8 goals), Marten Winkler (6 goals), with creative support from Fabian Reese (12 assists), Marten Winkler (6 assists), Michaël Cuisance (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
So far, Holstein Kiel have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 35 points from 30 matches. The record of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 36:43 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Phil Harres (7 goals), David Zec (6 goals), Jonas Therkelsen (4 goals), with creative support from Alexander Bernhardsson (7 assists), Adrián Kaprálik (3 assists), Phil Harres (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Hertha BSC won 2 times, Holstein Kiel won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Hertha BSC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 50:31 | 19 | 70 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 64:39 | 25 | 62 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 59:45 | 14 | 62 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60:44 | 16 | 60 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 57:45 | 12 | 52 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52:47 | 5 | 52 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 |
Hertha BSC
Home
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 47:44 | 3 | 51 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 2 | 46 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49:47 | 2 | 44 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 53:64 | -11 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54:53 | 1 | 41 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Holstein Kiel
Away
|
34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 44:48 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 13 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 53:51 | 2 | 39 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 52:58 | -6 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | -18 | 37 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 49:68 | -19 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 33:53 | -20 | 37 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:61 | -23 | 30 |
L
D
D
L
L
|