SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Tynecastle Park
Referee: J. Beaton
Heart Of Midlothian
Match Timeline
Rangers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
D. Sterling
Rangers
🟨
37'
Lawrence Shankland
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
46'
I. Chesnokov ↔ B. Spittal
Heart Of Midlothian
54'
S. Kingsley
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
69'
A. Skov Olsen ↔ D. Gassama
Rangers
71'
L. Shankland
Heart Of Midlothian
🟨
72'
Mohammed Diomande
Rangers
🔄
75'
D. Sterling ↔ T. Rommens
Rangers
🔄
75'
M. Moore ↔ T. Aasgaard
Rangers
🔄
75'
N. Raskin ↔ R. Naderi
Rangers
🟨
80'
Emmanuel Fernandez
Rangers
🔄
82'
A. Kyziridis ↔ J. McCart
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
83'
C. Braga ↔ P. Kabore
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
83'
M. Diomande ↔ B. Miovski
Rangers
🔄
90'
S. Kingsley ↔ F. Kent
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
90+4'
L. Shankland ↔ J. Altena
Heart Of Midlothian

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
84.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
83.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Heart Of Midlothian Win 61.9%
Draw 0%
Rangers Win 38.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Heart Of Midlothian1.56
Rangers1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian
WWDLW
60 GF / 29 GA
Rangers Rangers
WLDWL
81 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
1.69
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
15
BTTS Yes
28
17
Over 2.5
27
5.21
Shots on Goal
5.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 34 matches
Rangers Rangers 48 matches
Heart Of Midlothian Statistic Rangers
22 Wins 22
7 Draws 14
5 Losses 12
60 Goals For 81
29 Goals Against 60
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
15 BTTS Yes 28
23 Over 1.5 39
17 Over 2.5 27
10 Over 3.5 15
16 Clean Sheets 15
4 Failed To Score 8
5.21 Shots On Goal 5.35
14.65 Total Shots 14.71
5.68 Corners 6.04
53.9% Ball Possession 55.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Heart Of Midlothian expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Rangers in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rangers having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Rangers. Rangers look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Heart Of Midlothian Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 73 points from 34 games, Heart Of Midlothian bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 22 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 60:29, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Cláudio Braga (14 goals), L. Shankland (13 goals), P. Kabore (5 goals), with creative support from Alexandros Kyziridis (6 assists), Harry Milne (6 assists), Cláudio Braga (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Rangers Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 69 points from 34 games, Rangers bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 19 wins, 12 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 68:34, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Chermiti (12 goals), J. Tavernier (8 goals), B. Miovski (7 goals), with creative support from Nicolas Raskin (7 assists), Djeidi Gassama (5 assists), Chermiti (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Heart Of Midlothian won 3 times, Rangers won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:31 from Heart Of Midlothian's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Heart Of Midlothian 4-4-2 / Rangers 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Heart Of Midlothian wins 3, draws 3, Rangers wins 9
Stats
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers Rangers
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
5
2 Corner Kicks 6
8 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 0
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 5
7 Shots insidebox 9
4 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
299 Total passes 417
214 Passes accurate 317
0.75 expected_goals 0.82
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Heart Of Midlothian
Formation
Rangers
A. Schwolow
A. Schwolow
M. Steinwender
M. Steinwender
C. Halkett
C. Halkett
S. Findlay
S. Findlay
A. Kyziridis
A. Kyziridis
M. Leonard
M. Leonard
B. Baningime
B. Baningime
S. Kingsley
S. Kingsley
L. Shankland
L. Shankland
I. Chesnokov
I. Chesnokov
C. Braga
C. Braga
J. Butland
J. Butland
J. Tavernier
J. Tavernier
N. Djiga
N. Djiga
E. Fernandez
E. Fernandez
D. Sterling
D. Sterling
T. Chukwuani
T. Chukwuani
N. Raskin
N. Raskin
A. Skov Olsen
A. Skov Olsen
M. Diomande
M. Diomande
M. Moore
M. Moore
Chermiti
Chermiti
Heart Of Midlothian 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
25
A. Schwolow
G
15
M. Steinwender
D
4
C. Halkett
D
19
S. Findlay
D
89
A. Kyziridis
↓ 82'
M
49
M. Leonard
M
6
B. Baningime
M
3
S. Kingsley
⚽ 54' ↓ 90'
M
9
L. Shankland
⚽ 71' ↓ 90+4' 🟨 37'
F
99
I. Chesnokov
↓ 46'
F
10
C. Braga
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
30
R. Fulton
G
29
S. Kerjota
F
11
P. Kabore
↑ 83'
F
16
B. Spittal
↑ 46'
M
17
A. Forrest
F
5
J. McCart
↑ 82'
D
2
F. Kent
↑ 90'
D
23
J. Altena
↑ 90+4'
D
74
R. Mato
F
Rangers 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Butland
G
2
J. Tavernier
D
24
N. Djiga
D
37
E. Fernandez
🟨 80'
D
21
D. Sterling
⚽ 23' ↓ 75'
D
42
T. Chukwuani
M
43
N. Raskin
↓ 75'
M
7
A. Skov Olsen
↓ 69'
M
10
M. Diomande
↓ 83' 🟨 72'
M
47
M. Moore
↓ 75'
M
9
Chermiti
F
Substitutes
31
L. Kelly
G
25
T. Rommens
↑ 75'
D
11
T. Aasgaard
↑ 75'
M
20
R. Naderi
↑ 75'
F
23
D. Gassama
↑ 69'
F
28
B. Miovski
↑ 83'
F
3
M. Aarons
D
18
O. Antman
F
8
C. Barron
M
Last matches: Heart Of Midlothian
16.05.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
1
3
L
13.05.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
3
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
3
1
W
05.04.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Kilmarnock
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2
4
L
10.02.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
1
0
W
03.02.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
25.01.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
2
2
D
14.01.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
2
0
W
11.01.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee
1
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
1
0
W
27.12.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
2
3
L
21.12.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2
1
W
Last matches: Rangers
16.05.26
Pre
Rangers
Falkirk
5
2
W
13.05.26
Pre
Rangers
Hibernian
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pre
Rangers
Celtic
1
3
L
26.04.26
Pre
Rangers
Motherwell
2
3
L
12.04.26
Pre
Rangers
Falkirk
6
3
W
04.04.26
Pre
Rangers
Dundee Utd
4
2
W
21.03.26
Pre
Rangers
Aberdeen
4
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Rangers
ST Mirren
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Rangers
Celtic
2
2
D
22.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Livingston
2
2
D
15.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
4
2
W
11.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Motherwell
1
1
D
04.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Kilmarnock
5
1
W
01.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Hibernian
0
0
D
29.01.26
UEF
Rangers
FC Porto
1
3
L
25.01.26
Pre
Rangers
Dundee
3
0
W
22.01.26
UEF
Rangers
Ludogorets
1
0
W
11.01.26
Pre
Rangers
Aberdeen
2
0
W
06.01.26
Pre
Rangers
Aberdeen
2
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Rangers
Celtic
3
1
W
H2H: Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers
04.05.26
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2
1
W
15.02.26
H2H
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
4
2
L
21.12.25
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2
1
W
13.09.25
H2H
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
0
2
W
16.02.25
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
1
3
L
10.11.24
H2H
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
L
03.08.24
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
0
0
D
18.05.24
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
3
3
D
21.04.24
H2H
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
2
0
L
24.02.24
H2H
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
5
0
L
06.12.23
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
0
1
L
05.11.23
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
1
3
L
29.10.23
H2H
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
2
1
L
24.05.23
H2H
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
2
2
D
01.02.23
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
0
3
L
Last matches: Heart Of Midlothian
13.05.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
3
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
3
1
W
21.03.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
1
0
W
10.02.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
1
0
W
25.01.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
2
2
D
14.01.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
2
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
1
0
W
21.12.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2
1
W
03.12.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
01.11.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee
4
0
W
26.10.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
3
1
W
04.10.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
1
0
W
27.09.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
3
0
W
23.08.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
3
3
D
04.08.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen
2
0
W
H2H at home: Heart Of Midlothian
04.05.26
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2
1
W
21.12.25
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2
1
W
16.02.25
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
1
3
L
03.08.24
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
0
0
D
18.05.24
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
3
3
D
06.12.23
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
0
1
L
05.11.23
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
1
3
L
01.02.23
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
0
3
L
Last matches: Rangers
16.05.26
Pre
Rangers
Falkirk
5
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Rangers
Celtic
1
3
L
12.04.26
Pre
Rangers
Falkirk
6
3
W
15.03.26
Pre
Rangers
ST Mirren
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Livingston
2
2
D
11.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Motherwell
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Hibernian
0
0
D
29.01.26
UEF
Rangers
FC Porto
1
3
L
11.01.26
Pre
Rangers
Aberdeen
2
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Rangers
Celtic
3
1
W
21.12.25
Pre
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
L
11.12.25
UEF
Rangers
Ferencvarosi TC
1
2
L
06.12.25
Pre
Rangers
Kilmarnock
3
0
W
03.12.25
Pre
Rangers
Dundee Utd
2
2
D
09.11.25
Pre
Rangers
Dundee
3
0
W
29.10.25
Pre
Rangers
Hibernian
1
0
W
23.10.25
UEF
Rangers
Brann
0
3
L
05.10.25
Pre
Rangers
Falkirk
1
1
D
02.10.25
UEF
Rangers
Sturm Graz
1
2
L
28.09.25
Pre
Rangers
Livingston
2
1
W
H2H away: Rangers
04.05.26
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2
1
L
21.12.25
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2
1
L
16.02.25
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
1
3
W
03.08.24
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
0
0
D
18.05.24
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
3
3
D
06.12.23
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
0
1
W
05.11.23
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
1
3
W
01.02.23
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
0
3
W

Standings

Premiership
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 21 7 5 58:28 30 70
L W D W W
2 33 19 12 2 66:31 35 69
W L L L L
3 33 21 4 8 59:35 24 67
W W W W W
4 33 14 12 7 52:29 23 54
W L D L W
5 33 13 12 8 51:37 14 51
L W W L L
6 33 13 7 13 45:48 -3 46
L L L W L
7 33 9 13 11 45:54 -9 40
D D L L W
8 33 9 6 18 33:48 -15 33
L L W D W
9 33 8 9 16 34:53 -19 33
W L W W L
10 33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
W D D W L
11 33 6 10 17 37:65 -28 28
W W W W L
12 33 1 13 19 35:66 -31 16
L D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round