Fortaleza EC vs Novorizontino Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
51.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fortaleza EC
17 matches
Novorizontino
17 matches
| Fortaleza EC | Statistic | Novorizontino |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 5 | Losses | 3 |
| 20 | Goals For | 28 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.35 | Shots On Goal | 4.88 |
| 14 | Total Shots | 13.94 |
| 5.18 | Corners | 5.06 |
| 46.5% | Ball Possession | 47.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Novorizontino. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortaleza EC expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Novorizontino in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Novorizontino having the stronger overall control.
From their first 17 matches, Fortaleza EC have collected 28 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 20:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Juan Miritello (3 goals), Vitinho (3 goals), Luiz Fernando (2 goals), with creative support from Maílton (1 assists), Emanuel Brítez (1 assists), Maurício Júnior (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Novorizontino approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 30 points after 17 outings. The return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 28:16, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Robson (5 goals), Rômulo (2 goals), Tavinho (2 goals), with creative support from Rômulo (5 assists), Robson (2 assists), Juninho (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza EC won 1 times, Novorizontino won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Fortaleza EC's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 2 | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Novorizontino
Away
|
32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 57 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
| 4 |
Fortaleza EC
Home
|
32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
| 5 | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 53 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 52 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 4 | 51 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 10 | 50 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 1 | 48 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 47 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 45 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 10 | 45 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 42 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | -2 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | -11 | 33 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | -32 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | -51 | 13 |
L
L
L
W
L
|