FC Porto
Match Timeline
Arouca
FC Porto vs Arouca Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
71.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
FC Porto Win 65.9%
Draw 3.8%
Arouca Win 30.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Porto1.18
Arouca0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Porto
WWDLW
6 GF / 2 GA
Arouca
WLDWL
8 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.14
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
3
4.5
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Porto
4 matches
Arouca
7 matches
| FC Porto | Statistic | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 1 | Losses | 2 |
| 6 | Goals For | 8 |
| 2 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.14 |
| 0.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 11.5 | Total Shots | 9.5 |
| 6.5 | Corners | 3.5 |
| 53% | Ball Possession | 46.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Porto won 12 times, Arouca won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 41:8 from FC Porto's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: FC Porto 4-3-3 / Arouca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Porto wins 12, draws 1, Arouca wins 2
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
Home
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20:4 | 16 | 24 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 11 | 18 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 18 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Arouca
Away
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2