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GEORGIA › EROVNULI LIGA
07.05.2026 16:00
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Referee: J. Khorava
Dinamo Tbilisi
Match Timeline
Spaeri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
N. Ninua
Dinamo Tbilisi
🟨
20'
N. Chagunava
Spaeri
⚽
28'
N. K. Donkor · Assist: S. Kharebashvili
Dinamo Tbilisi
⚽
34'
M. Vatsadze · Assist: N. Ninua
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
41'
G. Gvasalia ↔ D. Kvartskhava
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
46'
L. Kokhreidze ↔ G. Tsetskhladze
Spaeri
🔄
46'
N. Chagunava ↔ S. Mathenjwa
Spaeri
🔄
52'
G. Kharebashvili ↔ R. Monteiro
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
61'
G. Samkharadze ↔ P. Poniava
Spaeri
🔄
72'
M. Vatsadze ↔ K. Doltmurziev
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
72'
R. Ramos ↔ G. Zaria
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
78'
S. Gegiadze ↔ Z. Golubiani
Spaeri
🔄
78'
T. Tsetskhladze ↔ Z. Basilashvili
Spaeri
⚽
82'
Z. Golubiani · Assist: G. Tsirdava
Spaeri
🟨
90'
G. Zaria
Dinamo Tbilisi

Dinamo Tbilisi vs Spaeri Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
26%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Dinamo Tbilisi Win 23.2%
Draw 10.2%
Spaeri Win 66.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dinamo Tbilisi1.13
Spaeri1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi
WWDLW
17 GF / 24 GA
Spaeri Spaeri
WLDWL
23 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
10
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
8
5.2
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 17 matches
Spaeri Spaeri 15 matches
Dinamo Tbilisi Statistic Spaeri
3 Wins 5
8 Draws 6
6 Losses 4
17 Goals For 23
24 Goals Against 20
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
10 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 4
5.2 Shots On Goal 5
0 Total Shots 0
4.2 Corners 4.4
52.1% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Spaeri. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Spaeri having the stronger overall control.

Dinamo Tbilisi Analysis

From their first 10 matches, Dinamo Tbilisi have collected 12 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:10 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Vatsadze (2 goals), R. Monteiro (2 goals), A. Kalandadze (1 goals), with creative support from G. Gvasalia (2 assists), N. Ninua (2 assists), R. Ramos (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Spaeri Analysis

Spaeri arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 12 points after 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 13:13 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on G. Samkharadze (3 goals), L. Kokhreidze (3 goals), G. Tsirdava (1 goals), with creative support from G. Samkharadze (1 assists), L. Kokhreidze (1 assists), G. Tsirdava (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Tbilisi won 3 times, Spaeri won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from Dinamo Tbilisi's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.8%)
Predicted formations: Dinamo Tbilisi 4-3-3 / Spaeri 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dinamo Tbilisi wins 3, draws 1, Spaeri wins 0

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 7 7 35:24 11 49
W L W D L
2 28 15 4 9 40:31 9 49
W L W W W
3 27 13 9 5 45:30 15 48
W W W D D
4 27 13 8 6 46:36 10 47
W D W W W
5 28 12 4 12 39:33 6 40
L W L D W
6 28 9 10 9 46:37 9 37
D L W D D
7 28 10 5 13 41:52 -11 35
W L L L L
8 28 6 11 11 25:40 -15 29
L D L D L
9 28 5 11 12 37:46 -9 26
D L L D D
10 28 2 11 15 21:46 -25 17
L D L D D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2