Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
69.8%
|
1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
2.31 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82.2%
|
1.48 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.60 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.50 |
Deportivo Pasto
Fortaleza FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportivo Pasto
33 matches
Fortaleza FC
30 matches
| Deportivo Pasto | Statistic | Fortaleza FC |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Draws | 13 |
| 14 | Losses | 11 |
| 40 | Goals For | 35 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.69 | Shots On Goal | 3.7 |
| 11.81 | Total Shots | 11.5 |
| 4.16 | Corners | 4.23 |
| 52.5% | Ball Possession | 52.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Deportivo Pasto's more proactive style and Fortaleza FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Deportivo Pasto arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 34 points compared to Fortaleza FC in 15 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Fortaleza FC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Pasto expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Fortaleza FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortaleza FC having the stronger overall control.
Deportivo Pasto come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 34 points from 19 matches. The record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 29:25 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Santiago Córdoba (5 goals), D. Chávez (4 goals), Jonathan Perlaza (2 goals), with creative support from D. Chávez (3 assists), E. Serje (2 assists), M. Gil (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
With 22 points from 19 games and a place of 15, Fortaleza FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 22:27 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Andrés Arroyo (9 goals), Italo Montaño Cortes (3 goals), Richardson Rivas (3 goals), with creative support from Andrés Arroyo (4 assists), S. Navarro (3 assists), Italo Montaño Cortes (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Pasto won 5 times, Fortaleza FC won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Deportivo Pasto's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.29 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 |
Deportivo Pasto
Home
|
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 |
Fortaleza FC
Away
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
L
L
D
D
L
|