CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
La Portada
Referee: Fernando Andre Vejar Diaz, Chile
D. La Serena
Match Timeline
Colo Colo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
37'
A. Henriquez ↔ J. Gutierrez
D. La Serena
🟨
42'
Rafael Delgado
D. La Serena
44'
V. Mendez
Colo Colo
45'
B. Gutierrez
D. La Serena
47'
L. Hernandez
Colo Colo
51'
D. Rubio · Assist: B. Gutierrez
D. La Serena
🟨
53'
Leandro Hernández
Colo Colo
🔄
60'
A. Madrid ↔ M. Romero
Colo Colo
64'
L. Pastran · Assist: A. Vidal
Colo Colo
🔄
68'
D. Rubio ↔ M. Velasquez
D. La Serena
🔄
78'
L. Hernandez ↔ F. Marchant
Colo Colo
🟨
89'
Federico Lanzillotta
D. La Serena
VAR
89'
Lautaro Pastrán
Colo Colo
🔄
90+2'
F. Chamorro ↔ M. Marin
D. La Serena
🔄
90+2'
G. Escalante ↔ M. Pinto
D. La Serena
🔄
90+1'
L. Pastran ↔ E. Wiemberg
Colo Colo
90'
F. Marchant · Assist: J. Correa
Colo Colo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
D. La Serena Win 31.8%
Draw 3.3%
Colo Colo Win 64.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
D. La Serena1.14
Colo Colo1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
D. La Serena D. La Serena
WWDLW
20 GF / 23 GA
Colo Colo Colo Colo
WLDWL
22 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
7
BTTS Yes
5
8
Over 2.5
5
4
Shots on Goal
5.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

D. La Serena D. La Serena 14 matches
Colo Colo Colo Colo 14 matches
D. La Serena Statistic Colo Colo
4 Wins 10
5 Draws 1
5 Losses 3
20 Goals For 22
23 Goals Against 10
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
7 BTTS Yes 5
9 Over 1.5 7
8 Over 2.5 5
7 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 5.15
10.31 Total Shots 14.31
4.38 Corners 5.77
49.5% Ball Possession 61.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Colo Colo's more proactive style and D. La Serena's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with D. La Serena expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Colo Colo in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Colo Colo having the stronger overall control. Colo Colo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 27 points while D. La Serena sit 12 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Colo Colo look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Colo Colo.

D. La Serena Analysis

D. La Serena are currently 12 in the standings with 14 points from 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, while the 14:19 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Vargas (5 goals), F. Chamorro (3 goals), A. Henriquez (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Rubio (3 assists), J. Vargas (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Colo Colo Analysis

Colo Colo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 27 points after 12 matches. The return of 9 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 20:9, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Correa (6 goals), M. Romero (5 goals), A. Madrid (2 goals), with creative support from C. Aquino (3 assists), M. Romero (1 assists), L. Hernandez (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, D. La Serena won 1 times, Colo Colo won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:28 from D. La Serena's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.45 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.7%)
Predicted formations: D. La Serena 4-1-4-1 / Colo Colo 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: D. La Serena wins 1, draws 1, Colo Colo wins 9
Stats
D. La Serena D. La Serena
Colo Colo Colo Colo
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
4
2 Corner Kicks 4
12 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Goal 7
2 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 4
5 Shots insidebox 9
3 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
273 Total passes 541
181 Passes accurate 464
1.04 expected_goals 1.51
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

D. La Serena
Formation
Colo Colo
F. Lanzillotta
F. Lanzillotta
B. Gutierrez
🎯
B. Gutierrez
F. Mac Allister
F. Mac Allister
R. Delgado
R. Delgado
Y. Salazar
Y. Salazar
A. Henriquez
A. Henriquez
S. Diaz
S. Diaz
G. Escalante
G. Escalante
F. Chamorro
F. Chamorro
D. Rubio
D. Rubio
J. Vargas
J. Vargas
G. Maureira
G. Maureira
J. Villagra
J. Villagra
A. Vidal
🎯
A. Vidal
J. Sosa
J. Sosa
J. Rojas
J. Rojas
A. Madrid
A. Madrid
V. Mendez
V. Mendez
D. Ulloa
D. Ulloa
L. Hernandez
L. Hernandez
J. Correa
🎯
J. Correa
L. Pastran
L. Pastran
D. La Serena 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
F. Lanzillotta
🟨 89'
G
21
B. Gutierrez
⚽ 45' 🎯 51'
D
4
F. Mac Allister
D
33
R. Delgado
🟨 42'
D
17
Y. Salazar
D
9
A. Henriquez
↓ 37'
M
6
S. Diaz
8
G. Escalante
↓ 90+2'
M
14
F. Chamorro
↓ 90+2'
M
11
D. Rubio
⚽ 51' ↓ 68'
F
10
J. Vargas
F
Substitutes
22
E. A. Sanhueza Mora
16
J. Gutierrez
↑ 37'
D
28
J. Orellana
24
F. Diaz
23
M. Marin
↑ 90+2'
M
29
M. Pinto
↑ 90+2'
D
26
F. Dinamarca
D
15
B. Contreras
F
20
M. Velasquez
↑ 68'
M
Colo Colo 3-4-3
Starting XI
25
G. Maureira
G
2
J. Villagra
D
23
A. Vidal
🎯 64'
D
4
J. Sosa
D
28
J. Rojas
M
8
A. Madrid
↓ 60'
M
5
V. Mendez
⚽ 44'
M
26
D. Ulloa
M
24
L. Hernandez
⚽ 47' ↓ 78' 🟨 53'
F
9
J. Correa
🎯 90'
F
10
L. Pastran
⚽ 64' ↓ 90+1'
F
Substitutes
12
E. Villanueva
G
20
J. Mendez
D
19
M. Romero
↑ 60'
F
21
E. Wiemberg
↑ 90+1'
D
13
M. Fernandez
D
7
F. Marchant
⚽ 90' ↑ 78'
M
30
Y. Cuevas
F
42
C. Diaz
M
34
R. Catalan
F
Last matches: D. La Serena
05.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
2
4
L
01.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobresal
1
0
W
28.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobreloa
2
1
W
24.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobresal
0
0
D
21.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
2
4
L
13.06.26
Pri
D. La Serena
A. Italiano
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
4
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Palestino
1
5
L
26.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Huachipato
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Concepción
3
3
D
11.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Universidad de Chile
0
4
L
15.03.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Nublense
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
3
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Cobresal
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Universidad de Concepcion
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
0
1
L
01.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
U. Catolica
2
2
D
24.01.26
Fri
D. La Serena
Cobresal
2
3
L
Last matches: Colo Colo
03.07.26
Cop
Colo Colo
O'Higgins
1
4
L
29.06.26
Cop
Colo Colo
Union Espanola
3
0
W
25.06.26
Cop
Colo Colo
O'Higgins
3
2
W
20.06.26
Cop
Colo Colo
Recoleta
3
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Cobresal
3
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Colo Colo
U. Catolica
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Nublense
6
2
W
03.05.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Coquimbo Unido
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Universidad de Concepcion
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Palestino
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Concepción
1
0
W
16.03.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Huachipato
2
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Colo Colo
A. Italiano
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Universidad de Chile
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Colo Colo
O'Higgins
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Union La Calera
1
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
Colo Colo
Union Espanola
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Everton de Vina
2
0
W
31.01.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Deportes Limache
1
3
L
H2H: D. La Serena vs Colo Colo
30.05.26
H2H
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
2
4
L
19.07.25
H2H
Colo Colo
D. La Serena
2
1
L
16.02.25
H2H
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
1
3
L
11.07.22
H2H
Colo Colo
D. La Serena
3
0
L
13.02.22
H2H
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
1
1
D
20.10.21
H2H
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
1
4
L
05.07.21
H2H
Colo Colo
D. La Serena
4
0
L
01.07.21
H2H
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
1
3
L
06.06.21
H2H
Colo Colo
D. La Serena
2
0
L
08.12.20
H2H
Colo Colo
D. La Serena
0
2
W
07.03.20
H2H
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
1
2
L
Last matches: D. La Serena
05.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
2
4
L
28.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobreloa
2
1
W
24.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobresal
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
4
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Huachipato
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
3
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Universidad de Concepcion
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
01.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
U. Catolica
2
2
D
24.01.26
Fri
D. La Serena
Cobresal
2
3
L
H2H at home: D. La Serena
30.05.26
H2H
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
2
4
L
16.02.25
H2H
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
1
3
L
13.02.22
H2H
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
1
1
D
20.10.21
H2H
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
1
4
L
01.07.21
H2H
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
1
3
L
07.03.20
H2H
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
1
2
L
Last matches: Colo Colo
03.07.26
Cop
Colo Colo
O'Higgins
1
4
L
29.06.26
Cop
Colo Colo
Union Espanola
3
0
W
20.06.26
Cop
Colo Colo
Recoleta
3
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Colo Colo
U. Catolica
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Universidad de Concepcion
2
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Concepción
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Colo Colo
A. Italiano
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Colo Colo
O'Higgins
1
0
W
31.01.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Deportes Limache
1
3
L
H2H away: Colo Colo
30.05.26
H2H
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
2
4
W
16.02.25
H2H
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
1
3
W
13.02.22
H2H
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
1
1
D
20.10.21
H2H
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
1
4
W
01.07.21
H2H
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
1
3
W
07.03.20
H2H
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
1
2
W

Standings

Primera
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 0 3 29:12 17 36
W W W W W
2 15 8 2 5 35:20 15 26
W W L W L
3 15 6 6 3 17:10 7 24
W D W L W
4 15 7 3 5 22:18 4 24
D W D W L
5 15 7 3 5 23:21 2 24
W D W W L
6 15 7 2 6 23:22 1 23
D L L W D
7 15 6 4 5 19:15 4 22
L W D W W
8 15 5 7 3 18:19 -1 22
D W D L L
9 15 6 3 6 30:23 7 21
L L L L D
10 15 6 2 7 19:22 -3 20
L D L L W
11 15 5 4 6 13:26 -13 19
L D D W L
12 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D L W L D
13 15 4 4 7 18:21 -3 16
D D W L D
14 15 4 2 9 14:23 -9 14
W L W L W
15 15 4 1 10 19:29 -10 13
L L L W L
16 15 3 3 9 14:28 -14 12
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso