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ITALY › SERIE A
19.04.2026 10:30
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Referee: M. Fabbri
Cremonese
Match Timeline
Torino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
60'
J. Vandeputte ↔ D. Okereke
Cremonese
🔄
60'
R. Floriani ↔ A. Zerbin
Cremonese
VAR
64'
Federico Baschirotto
Cremonese
🔄
68'
G. Maripan ↔ L. Marianucci
Torino
🔄
68'
G. Simeone ↔ A. Njie
Torino
🔄
73'
A. Grassi ↔ M. Payero
Cremonese
🔄
76'
R. Obrador ↔ C. Biraghi
Torino
🔄
76'
N. Vlasic ↔ F. Anjorin
Torino
🟨
78'
Saúl Coco
Torino
🟨
80'
Enzo Ebosse
Torino
🟨
80'
Alieu Njie
Torino
🔄
84'
A. Sanabria ↔ M. Djuric
Cremonese
🔄
84'
S. Luperto ↔ T. Barbieri
Cremonese
🔄
90'
↔ S. Kulenovic
Torino

Cremonese vs Torino Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 86.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
86.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
84.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.7%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cremonese Win 13.5%
Draw 0%
Torino Win 86.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cremonese1.12
Torino1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cremonese Cremonese
WWDLW
26 GF / 47 GA
Torino Torino
WLDWL
43 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
0.79
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
14
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
22
3.06
Shots on Goal
4.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cremonese Cremonese 33 matches
Torino Torino 36 matches
Cremonese Statistic Torino
6 Wins 14
10 Draws 6
17 Losses 16
26 Goals For 43
47 Goals Against 58
0.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
14 BTTS Yes 17
22 Over 1.5 25
13 Over 2.5 22
7 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 13
16 Failed To Score 9
3.06 Shots On Goal 4.19
8.94 Total Shots 12
3.3 Corners 4.08
46.1% Ball Possession 44.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cremonese expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Torino in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Torino having the stronger overall control. Cremonese have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Torino. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Cremonese Analysis

Cremonese sit 17 with 27 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 17 defeats with a 26:47 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Bonazzoli (7 goals), Jamie Vardy (5 goals), Filippo Terracciano (3 goals), with creative support from J. Vandeputte (4 assists), F. Bonazzoli (2 assists), Jamie Vardy (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with M. Collocolo, Y. Maleh, M. Thorsby unavailable.

Torino Analysis

Torino sit 12 with 39 points after 32 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 6 draws, and 15 losses, while the 37:54 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on G. Simeone (9 goals), Nikola Vlašić (7 goals), C. Adams (5 goals), with creative support from Nikola Vlašić (3 assists), C. Adams (2 assists), Ardian Ismajli (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with A. Ismajli, N. Nkounkou, Z. Aboukhlal unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Cremonese won 1 times, Torino won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:10 from Cremonese's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Cremonese 4-4-2 / Torino 3-5-2
Missing players: Cremonese 5, Torino 5
H2H summary: Cremonese wins 1, draws 4, Torino wins 3

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B