Coventry vs Wrexham Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
72.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
71.6%
|
- |
Coventry
Wrexham
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Coventry
45 matches
Wrexham
47 matches
| Coventry | Statistic | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wins | 20 |
| 11 | Draws | 14 |
| 8 | Losses | 13 |
| 90 | Goals For | 72 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 67 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 30 |
| 36 | Over 1.5 | 38 |
| 27 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 5.42 | Shots On Goal | 3.83 |
| 16.09 | Total Shots | 11.4 |
| 5.24 | Corners | 4.68 |
| 55.2% | Ball Possession | 47.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Wrexham seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Coventry expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Wrexham in 3-5-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wrexham having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Wrexham. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Coventry come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 89 points from 44 matches. Their overall return of 26 wins, 11 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 84:42 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Wright (17 goals), B. Thomas-Asante (12 goals), E. Simms (10 goals), with creative support from Milan van Ewijk (8 assists), V. Torp (6 assists), J. Rudoni (6 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 15 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with M. Brau, O. Dovin, T. Sakamoto unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Wrexham sit 6 with 70 points after 44 league matches. The record of 19 wins, 13 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 63:60 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Windass (15 goals), K. Moore (11 goals), N. Broadhead (7 goals), with creative support from L. O'Brien (6 assists), J. Windass (5 assists), G. Thomason (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 8 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with L. Cacace, A. James, T. O'Connor unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Coventry won 1 times, Wrexham won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:8 from Coventry's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 5.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry
Home
|
46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 2 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
Wrexham
Away
|
46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|