CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso
Referee: Juan Ignacio Lara Luco, Chile
Coquimbo Unido
Match Timeline
A. Italiano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
30'
G. Vadala · Assist: C. Zavala
Coquimbo Unido
🟨
38'
Ignacio Fuenzalida
A. Italiano
45'
N. Johansen · Assist: J. Cornejo
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
46'
M. Valdes ↔ O. J. Rojas Munoz
A. Italiano
🟨
48'
Giovani Chiaverano
A. Italiano
🟨
49'
Benjamín Gazzolo
Coquimbo Unido
VAR
61'
Cristián Zavala
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
62'
A. Camargo ↔ D. Glaby
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
62'
M. A. Mundaca Barraza ↔ L. Riveros
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
62'
C. Zavala ↔ B. Chandia
Coquimbo Unido
🟨
65'
Michael Vadulli
A. Italiano
🔄
66'
D. Pina ↔ F. Loyola
A. Italiano
🔄
66'
I. Fuenzalida ↔ D. Coelho
A. Italiano
🟨
70'
Favian Loyola
A. Italiano
🔄
72'
N. Johansen ↔ L. Pratto
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
76'
M. Collao ↔ F. Mateos
A. Italiano
🔄
76'
M. Fuentes ↔ R. Cabral
A. Italiano
🔄
77'
G. Vadala ↔ A. E. Azocar Machuca
Coquimbo Unido
86'
S. Galani · Assist: A. E. Azocar Machuca
Coquimbo Unido

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 96.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 93.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
96.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
93.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Coquimbo Unido Win 96.8%
Draw 0%
A. Italiano Win 3.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Coquimbo Unido1.35
A. Italiano1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido
WWDLW
22 GF / 21 GA
A. Italiano A. Italiano
WLDWL
15 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
10
BTTS Yes
4
9
Over 2.5
7
4.4
Shots on Goal
3.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 17 matches
A. Italiano A. Italiano 11 matches
Coquimbo Unido Statistic A. Italiano
8 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
6 Losses 6
22 Goals For 15
21 Goals Against 16
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
10 BTTS Yes 4
12 Over 1.5 7
9 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 4
4.4 Shots On Goal 3.27
11.67 Total Shots 10.36
5.6 Corners 3.73
46.7% Ball Possession 50.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward A. Italiano. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Coquimbo Unido expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and A. Italiano in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward A. Italiano having the stronger overall control. A. Italiano arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Coquimbo Unido Analysis

Coquimbo Unido sit 8 with 16 points after 11 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 15:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. E. Azocar Machuca (2 goals), Alejandro Camargo (2 goals), Cristián Zavala (2 goals), with creative support from J. Cornejo (4 assists), L. Riveros (3 assists), Cristián Zavala (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

A. Italiano Analysis

A. Italiano sit 13 with 11 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 15:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Troyansky (3 goals), G. Chiaverano (3 goals), D. Coelho (1 goals), with creative support from E. Matus (3 assists), N. Aedo (2 assists), G. Chiaverano (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Coquimbo Unido won 6 times, A. Italiano won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:10 from Coquimbo Unido's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.85 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Coquimbo Unido 4-2-3-1 / A. Italiano 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Coquimbo Unido wins 6, draws 4, A. Italiano wins 3
Stats
Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano A. Italiano
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
8 Corner Kicks 1
12 Fouls 8
3 Offsides 0
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Goal 0
3 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 3
13 Shots insidebox 2
1 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
369 Total passes 358
268 Passes accurate 243
1.90 expected_goals 0.15
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Coquimbo Unido
Formation
A. Italiano
D. Sanchez
D. Sanchez
F. Salinas
F. Salinas
E. Hernandez
E. Hernandez
B. Gazzolo
B. Gazzolo
J. Cornejo
🎯
J. Cornejo
C. Zavala
🎯
C. Zavala
S. Galani
S. Galani
A. Camargo
A. Camargo
M. A. Mundaca Barraza
M. A. Mundaca Barraza
G. Vadala
G. Vadala
N. Johansen
N. Johansen
T. Ahumada
T. Ahumada
P. Guajardo
P. Guajardo
E. Ferrario
E. Ferrario
M. Ortiz
M. Ortiz
D. Pina
D. Pina
M. Valdes
M. Valdes
V. Zenteno
V. Zenteno
M. Collao
M. Collao
M. Fuentes
M. Fuentes
I. Fuenzalida
I. Fuenzalida
G. Chiaverano
G. Chiaverano
Coquimbo Unido 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
D. Sanchez
G
17
F. Salinas
D
4
E. Hernandez
D
2
B. Gazzolo
🟨 49'
D
16
J. Cornejo
🎯 45'
D
15
C. Zavala
🎯 30' ↓ 62'
M
7
S. Galani
⚽ 86'
M
8
A. Camargo
↓ 62'
M
20
M. A. Mundaca Barraza
↓ 62'
10
G. Vadala
⚽ 30' ↓ 77'
F
9
N. Johansen
⚽ 45' ↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
1
G. Flores
G
12
L. Pratto
↑ 72'
F
26
L. Soza
D
6
D. Glaby
↑ 62'
M
11
A. E. Azocar Machuca
🎯 86' ↑ 77'
F
5
D. Escobar
D
27
L. Riveros
↑ 62'
F
30
B. Chandia
↑ 62'
F
23
M. Zepeda
M
A. Italiano 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
T. Ahumada
G
7
P. Guajardo
D
13
E. Ferrario
D
29
M. Ortiz
D
4
D. Pina
↓ 66'
D
22
M. Valdes
↓ 46'
D
2
V. Zenteno
M
8
M. Collao
↓ 76'
M
27
M. Fuentes
↓ 76' 🟨 65'
M
33
I. Fuenzalida
↓ 66' 🟨 38'
F
21
G. Chiaverano
🟨 48'
F
Substitutes
25
P. Garrido
16
O. J. Rojas Munoz
↑ 46'
M
28
F. Mateos
↑ 76'
17
F. Loyola
↑ 66' 🟨 70'
M
14
D. Monreal
20
M. Jimenez
9
D. Coelho
↑ 66'
F
10
R. Cabral
↑ 76'
F
19
T. Leyton
M
Last matches: Coquimbo Unido
04.07.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Iquique
1
1
D
01.07.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
27.06.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
W
23.06.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
20.06.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Iquique
3
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
O'Higgins
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Limache
3
2
W
27.05.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Everton de Vina
1
1
D
19.05.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Tolima
3
0
W
08.05.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Colo Colo
1
3
L
29.04.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Tolima
0
3
L
24.04.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Union La Calera
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Nublense
1
1
D
15.04.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
2
0
W
08.04.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Cobresal
3
2
W
14.03.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Universidad de Chile
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Huachipato
3
1
W
Last matches: A. Italiano
05.07.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
2
L
30.06.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Palestino
3
2
W
27.06.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Magallanes
2
1
W
24.06.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Palestino
2
1
W
19.06.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
1
L
13.06.26
Pri
A. Italiano
D. La Serena
1
1
D
01.06.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Palestino
0
0
D
23.05.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Cobresal
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Deportes Limache
2
2
D
20.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Huachipato
2
3
L
11.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
U. Catolica
3
4
L
03.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
O'Higgins
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Concepción
3
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Colo Colo
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Union La Calera
0
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Nublense
0
1
L
06.02.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Universidad de Concepcion
3
0
W
30.01.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
H2H: Coquimbo Unido vs A. Italiano
16.05.26
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
3
0
W
23.08.25
H2H
A. Italiano
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
W
30.03.25
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
2
1
W
24.08.24
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
1
1
D
28.03.24
H2H
A. Italiano
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
W
25.08.23
H2H
A. Italiano
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
03.03.23
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
3
1
W
13.09.22
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
0
1
L
16.04.22
H2H
A. Italiano
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
15.11.20
H2H
A. Italiano
Coquimbo Unido
2
0
L
01.09.20
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
0
0
D
06.10.19
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
1
0
W
13.04.19
H2H
A. Italiano
Coquimbo Unido
2
0
L
Last matches: Coquimbo Unido
23.06.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
20.06.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Iquique
3
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
O'Higgins
0
0
D
19.05.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Tolima
3
0
W
08.05.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Nublense
1
1
D
08.04.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Cobresal
3
2
W
14.03.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Universidad de Chile
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Concepción
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Palestino
3
1
W
H2H at home: Coquimbo Unido
16.05.26
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
3
0
W
30.03.25
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
2
1
W
24.08.24
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
1
1
D
03.03.23
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
3
1
W
13.09.22
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
0
1
L
01.09.20
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
0
0
D
06.10.19
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
1
0
W
Last matches: A. Italiano
05.07.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
2
L
24.06.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Palestino
2
1
W
01.06.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Palestino
0
0
D
20.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Huachipato
2
3
L
03.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
O'Higgins
1
2
L
27.02.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Union La Calera
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Nublense
0
1
L
30.01.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
H2H away: A. Italiano
16.05.26
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
3
0
L
30.03.25
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
2
1
L
24.08.24
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
1
1
D
03.03.23
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
3
1
L
13.09.22
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
0
1
W
01.09.20
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
0
0
D
06.10.19
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
1
0
L

Standings

Primera
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 0 3 29:12 17 36
W W W W W
2 15 8 2 5 35:20 15 26
W W L W L
3 15 6 6 3 17:10 7 24
W D W L W
4 15 7 3 5 22:18 4 24
D W D W L
5 15 7 3 5 23:21 2 24
W D W W L
6 15 7 2 6 23:22 1 23
D L L W D
7 15 6 4 5 19:15 4 22
L W D W W
8 15 5 7 3 18:19 -1 22
D W D L L
9 15 6 3 6 30:23 7 21
L L L L D
10 15 6 2 7 19:22 -3 20
L D L L W
11 15 5 4 6 13:26 -13 19
L D D W L
12 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D L W L D
13 15 4 4 7 18:21 -3 16
D D W L D
14 15 4 2 9 14:23 -9 14
W L W L W
15 15 4 1 10 19:29 -10 13
L L L W L
16 15 3 3 9 14:28 -14 12
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso