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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
26.07.2026 11:35
Wuliangye Sports Center Stadium
Referee: Ko Hyung-jin, South Korea
Chengdu Better City
Match Timeline
Beijing Guoan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
Matheus Jussa ↔ M. Iminqari
Chengdu Better City
🔄
46'
U. Spajic ↔ Chi Zhongguo
Beijing Guoan
🔄
46'
Deng Jiefu ↔ Cao Yongjing
Beijing Guoan
⚽
52'
Zhang Yuning · Assist: F. Abreu
Beijing Guoan
🟨
59'
Yang Li
Chengdu Better City
🔄
62'
Abduweli Behram ↔ Romulo
Chengdu Better City
🔄
64'
Yang Liyu ↔ Jia Feifan
Beijing Guoan
🔄
67'
↔ Wang Yu
Beijing Guoan
⚽
70'
Zhang Yuning · Assist: Jia Feifan
Beijing Guoan
🟨
76'
Felipe Silva
Chengdu Better City
🟨
76'
Fabio Abreu
Beijing Guoan
🔄
78'
Gan Chao ↔ Wang Ziming
Chengdu Better City
🔄
78'
Y. Li ↔ Y. Dong
Chengdu Better City
🟨
81'
Feifan Jia
Beijing Guoan
🔄
81'
Yue Tze-Nam ↔ Fan Shuangjie
Beijing Guoan
🔄
83'
He Yiran ↔ Liao Rongxiang
Chengdu Better City
⚽
87'
Felipe Silva · Assist: Wellington Silva
Chengdu Better City
⚽
90'
E. Sorokin · Assist: Wei Shihao
Chengdu Better City

Chengdu Better City vs Beijing Guoan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Chengdu Better City Win 52.6%
Draw 14.2%
Beijing Guoan Win 33.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chengdu Better City1.62
Beijing Guoan1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chengdu Better City Chengdu Better City
WWDLW
40 GF / 26 GA
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan
WLDWL
30 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
12
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
10
5.11
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chengdu Better City Chengdu Better City 22 matches
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 18 matches
Chengdu Better City Statistic Beijing Guoan
13 Wins 7
5 Draws 6
4 Losses 5
40 Goals For 30
26 Goals Against 24
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
12 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 1
5.11 Shots On Goal 5.67
14.79 Total Shots 16.33
6.89 Corners 6.89
57% Ball Possession 62.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Chengdu Better City expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Beijing Guoan in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Beijing Guoan having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Chengdu Better City arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 43 points compared to Beijing Guoan in 7 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Beijing Guoan.

Chengdu Better City Analysis

Chengdu Better City arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 43 points after 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 39:18 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on Felipe Silva (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Beijing Guoan Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Beijing Guoan have collected 22 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 30:24 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Sai Erjini'ao (1 goals), with creative support from Aboubacar Konte (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Chengdu Better City won 3 times, Beijing Guoan won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:15 from Chengdu Better City's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.8%)
Predicted formations: Chengdu Better City 4-2-3-1 / Beijing Guoan 4-4-2
H2H summary: Chengdu Better City wins 3, draws 4, Beijing Guoan wins 4

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 15 7 5 51:31 20 52
L D W L W
2 27 13 4 10 42:42 0 43
W W D W D
3 27 12 10 5 52:33 19 41
W D D D W
4 27 13 5 9 47:44 3 38
D D W L W
5 27 11 5 11 55:58 -3 38
L W L D W
6 27 8 14 5 31:36 -5 38
L D D W D
7 27 11 8 8 44:35 9 36
W D W W D
8 27 13 5 9 59:47 12 34
W W L W L
9 27 7 11 9 28:33 -5 32
D L D L D
10 27 10 6 11 47:47 0 31
L W L W D
11 27 8 5 14 36:47 -11 29
D D L D W
12 27 10 8 9 37:32 5 28
W W W D D
13 27 8 10 9 35:37 -2 28
D D D D D
14 27 7 5 15 35:48 -13 26
D L L L D
15 27 5 12 10 40:47 -7 22
D L D D W
16 27 6 3 18 34:56 -22 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation