Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
81%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cerezo Osaka
16 matches
V-varen Nagasaki
16 matches
| Cerezo Osaka | Statistic | V-varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 1 |
| 6 | Losses | 8 |
| 15 | Goals For | 18 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.67 | Shots On Goal | 3.67 |
| 10.2 | Total Shots | 11.33 |
| 4.8 | Corners | 4 |
| 50.1% | Ball Possession | 48.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Cerezo Osaka's more proactive style and V-varen Nagasaki's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward V-varen Nagasaki. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cerezo Osaka expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and V-varen Nagasaki in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward V-varen Nagasaki having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. V-varen Nagasaki arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
Cerezo Osaka come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 22 points after 15 matches. The return of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 18:16, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Thiago Andrade (5 goals), S. Sakuragawa (4 goals), Shunta Tanaka (3 goals), with creative support from M. Shibayama (3 assists), R. Sakata (2 assists), Nelson Ishiwatari (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
With 19 points from 15 games and a place of 10, V-varen Nagasaki still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 9 defeats with a 16:23 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Thiago (6 goals), Matheus Jesus (5 goals), N. Campbell (2 goals), with creative support from Matheus Jesus (2 assists), N. Campbell (2 assists), Motoki Hasegawa (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 5 times, V-varen Nagasaki won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:9 from Cerezo Osaka's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.
Cerezo Osaka
8
4
7
3
6
0
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
TIAMO Hirakata
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
Omiya Ardija
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
TIAMO Hirakata
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Omiya Ardija
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
?
|
|
| 2 |
Cerezo Osaka
Home
|
18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 31 |
?
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 23 |
?
|
|
| 9 |
V-varen Nagasaki
Away
|
18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
?
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
?
|