Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
80%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
25.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cerezo Osaka
14 matches
Avispa Fukuoka
18 matches
| Cerezo Osaka | Statistic | Avispa Fukuoka |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 6 | Losses | 6 |
| 13 | Goals For | 28 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.56 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.83 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 3.5 |
| 10.62 | Total Shots | 11.43 |
| 4.46 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 48.5% | Ball Possession | 42.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Cerezo Osaka's more proactive style and Avispa Fukuoka's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cerezo Osaka expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Avispa Fukuoka in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Avispa Fukuoka having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Avispa Fukuoka. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
So far, Cerezo Osaka have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 19 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, while the 15:13 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on S. Sakuragawa (4 goals), Thiago Andrade (4 goals), Dion Cools (1 goals), with creative support from R. Sakata (2 assists), M. Shibayama (2 assists), Shunta Tanaka (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
From their first 14 matches, Avispa Fukuoka have collected 17 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, while the 17:25 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Shosei Usui (2 goals), Tomoya Miki (2 goals), Y. Hashimoto (2 goals), with creative support from Y. Hashimoto (2 assists), Tomoya Miki (1 assists), G. Miura (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 6 times, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:13 from Cerezo Osaka's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Cerezo Osaka
1
4
4
3
2
1
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
TIAMO Hirakata
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
JEF United Chiba
Avispa Fukuoka
JEF United Chiba
Avispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
Avispa Fukuoka
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Roasso Kumamoto
Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
TIAMO Hirakata
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
JEF United Chiba
Avispa Fukuoka
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
Avispa Fukuoka
Tokyo Verdy
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
?
|
|
| 2 |
Cerezo Osaka
Home
|
18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 31 |
?
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 23 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 10 |
Avispa Fukuoka
Away
|
18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
?
|