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BELARUS › 1. DIVISION
18.04.2026 11:00
SDYuShOR-6 Stadium
Bumprom
Match Timeline
Ostrovets FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
D. Kaplunov
Bumprom
🟨
32'
A. Kilyimanov
Ostrovets FC
⚽
38'
N. Yakimovich · Assist: K. Goncharik
Ostrovets FC
🔄
46'
A. Zhevnerenko ↔ I. Zhestkin
Bumprom
🔄
46'
V. Fastovets ↔ D. Krivosheev
Bumprom
🔄
46'
M. Samotoy ↔ A. Kabyshev
Bumprom
🔄
46'
M. Tychko ↔ S. Absamadov
Bumprom
🟨
50'
M. Kalinovskiy
Ostrovets FC
🔄
62'
K. Sidorenko ↔ I. Grudko
Bumprom
⚽
63'
I. Mokshin · Assist: N. Yakimovich
Ostrovets FC
🔄
65'
M. Kalinovskiy ↔ A. Davidovich
Ostrovets FC
🔄
65'
D. Tsyk ↔ A. Fedosenko
Ostrovets FC
🔄
65'
N. Yakimovich ↔ R. Medvedev
Ostrovets FC
⚽
68'
M. Boychenko
Ostrovets FC
⚽
81'
G. Vershinin · Assist: I. Grudko
Bumprom
🔄
87'
K. Goncharik ↔ A. Gonzhurov
Ostrovets FC
🔄
89'
I. Mokshin ↔ E. Kudinov
Ostrovets FC
🟨
90+3'
V. Drozd
Ostrovets FC

Bumprom vs Ostrovets FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 52.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
52.6%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bumprom Win 83.7%
Draw 7%
Ostrovets FC Win 9.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bumprom1.4
Ostrovets FC1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bumprom Bumprom
WWDLW
8 GF / 7 GA
Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC
WLDWL
2 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
3
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bumprom Bumprom 6 matches
Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 2 matches
Bumprom Statistic Ostrovets FC
2 Wins 0
1 Draws 1
3 Losses 1
8 Goals For 2
7 Goals Against 3
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
3 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 2
4 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Bumprom's more proactive style and Ostrovets FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Bumprom arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 4 points compared to Ostrovets FC in 12 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ostrovets FC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ostrovets FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Bumprom Analysis

Placed 4 with 4 points from 2 outings, Bumprom continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, while the 3:0 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on V. Potorocha (2 goals), I. Udodov (1 goals), with creative support from G. Vershinin (1 assists), K. Sidorenko (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Ostrovets FC Analysis

Ostrovets FC sit 12 with 1 points after 2 league matches. Their overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 2:3 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Goncharik (1 goals), with creative support from A. Fedosenko (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Bumprom won 3 times, Ostrovets FC won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:15 from Bumprom's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
H2H summary: Bumprom wins 3, draws 2, Ostrovets FC wins 3

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 57:28 29 60
W W W W W
2 28 18 4 6 72:33 39 58
W D W L W
3 28 18 3 7 52:43 9 57
W W W L W
4 28 17 5 6 61:32 29 56
W W W W L
5 28 15 5 8 51:33 18 50
W D W W D
6 27 14 3 10 46:45 1 45
L L W D W
7 28 12 7 9 55:45 10 43
W D W W W
8 28 12 5 11 53:44 9 41
L W D W L
9 25 10 5 10 42:37 5 35
W D L W W
10 28 8 11 9 38:41 -3 35
L D D L W
11 28 10 5 13 41:51 -10 35
D L L L L
12 27 9 6 12 33:36 -3 33
W L W W D
13 27 9 3 15 37:50 -13 30
L L D L L
14 28 7 6 15 28:52 -24 27
L D L L D
15 27 6 8 13 25:36 -11 26
L D L L D
16 27 5 7 15 36:61 -25 22
D L L W L
17 28 5 6 17 38:60 -22 21
L L L L L
18 28 5 5 18 30:68 -38 20
D L D D L