Barcelona
Match Timeline
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
80.9%
|
1.16 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.34 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
74.3%
|
1.60 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
Probability Distribution
Barcelona Win 80.9%
Draw 4.2%
Rayo Vallecano Win 14.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barcelona2.38
Rayo Vallecano1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barcelona
WWDLW
21 GF / 7 GA
Rayo Vallecano
WLDWL
7 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.63
Average Goals Scored
1.17
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
2
4
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
5
8.5
Shots on Goal
3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Barcelona
8 matches
Rayo Vallecano
6 matches
| Barcelona | Statistic | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 4 |
| 21 | Goals For | 7 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 2.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 8.5 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 16.5 | Total Shots | 7 |
| 6.5 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 62% | Ball Possession | 49.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona won 9 times, Rayo Vallecano won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:14 from Barcelona's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Barcelona 4-2-3-1 / Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Barcelona 5, Rayo Vallecano 4
H2H summary: Barcelona wins 9, draws 3, Rayo Vallecano wins 3
Standings
La Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
Home
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 24 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 16 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 15 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 11 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 |
Rayo Vallecano
Away
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | -10 | 7 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | -6 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
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