Bahia vs Botafogo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
58.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
94.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Bahia
Botafogo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bahia
18 matches
Botafogo
20 matches
| Bahia | Statistic | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 5 |
| 6 | Losses | 8 |
| 25 | Goals For | 33 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.6 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.72 | Shots On Goal | 4.8 |
| 13 | Total Shots | 12.6 |
| 5.5 | Corners | 3.75 |
| 55% | Ball Possession | 50.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bahia expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Botafogo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Botafogo having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Botafogo.
Bahia sit 8 with 23 points after 15 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, while the 21:19 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Luciano Juba (7 goals), Everaldo (3 goals), Willian Jose (3 goals), with creative support from Everton Ribeiro (3 assists), Jean Lucas (2 assists), Luciano Juba (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Botafogo are currently 9 in the standings with 21 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, while the 29:28 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Arthur Cabral (7 goals), Danilo (7 goals), Matheus Martins (4 goals), with creative support from A. Montoro (3 assists), Danilo (2 assists), Alex Telles (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 8 times, Botafogo won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from Bahia's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 57:25 | 32 | 61 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48:21 | 27 | 60 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48:36 | 12 | 51 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45:34 | 11 | 50 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Home
|
29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 43:36 | 7 | 46 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 7 | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 39:34 | 5 | 44 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:43 | 2 | 42 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35:35 | 0 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37:47 | -10 | 38 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34:33 | 1 | 37 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 36 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 |
Botafogo
Away
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 35 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 14 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 35 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30:34 | -4 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 25 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29:57 | -28 | 18 |
L
D
L
W
L
|