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FRANCE › LIGUE 3
07.08.2026 18:45
Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny
Aubagne
Match Timeline
Thionville Lusitanos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
5'
A. Tafni
Aubagne
🟨
13'
J. Atangana
Thionville Lusitanos
🟨
19'
K. Tubio
Thionville Lusitanos
⚽
30'
S. Ahamada
Thionville Lusitanos
🟨
50'
M. Aljic
Thionville Lusitanos
🟨
51'
Thionville Lusitanos
Thionville Lusitanos
🔄
68'
B. Labissiere ↔ J. Moustaid
Thionville Lusitanos
🟨
74'
S. Kilic
Thionville Lusitanos
🔄
78'
K. Cisse ↔ M. Ahamadi
Aubagne
🔄
78'
Y. Zemoura ↔ S. Hattab
Aubagne
🔄
78'
K. Bouhmidi ↔ A. Gouletquer
Thionville Lusitanos
🟨
79'
M. Ahamadi
Aubagne
⚽
81'
J. Moustaid · Assist: J. Atangana
Thionville Lusitanos
🟨
82'
Aubagne
Aubagne
🔄
85'
R. Valme ↔ R. Doucoure
Aubagne
🔄
86'
A. Faiz ↔ B. Benosmane
Aubagne
🔄
86'
S. Ahamada ↔ A. Sadi
Aubagne
🔄
86'
K. Tubio ↔ G. Laurens
Thionville Lusitanos
⚽
90'
J. Moustaid · Assist: A. Gouletquer
Thionville Lusitanos

Aubagne vs Thionville Lusitanos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
71.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Aubagne Win 28.3%
Draw 22.4%
Thionville Lusitanos Win 49.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aubagne1.17
Thionville Lusitanos3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aubagne Aubagne
WWDLW
3 GF / 4 GA
Thionville Lusitanos Thionville Lusitanos
WLDWL
11 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
3.67
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
2
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aubagne Aubagne 2 matches
Thionville Lusitanos Thionville Lusitanos 3 matches
Aubagne Statistic Thionville Lusitanos
0 Wins 2
1 Draws 1
1 Losses 0
3 Goals For 11
4 Goals Against 2
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 3.67
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
2 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Aubagne won 0 times, Thionville Lusitanos won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:3 from Aubagne's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.6%)
H2H summary: Aubagne wins 0, draws 0, Thionville Lusitanos wins 1

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 15:8 7 21
W W W D D
2 9 6 2 1 17:5 12 20
W L W W D
3 9 4 4 1 12:8 4 16
W D W W D
4 9 5 1 3 13:12 1 16
W W D W L
5 9 4 3 2 12:3 9 15
W D W D W
6 9 3 6 0 11:4 7 15
W D D D W
7 9 5 0 4 17:12 5 15
L W L W W
8 9 4 1 4 11:9 2 13
W L W L D
9 9 3 3 3 14:14 0 12
L L D L D
10 9 3 3 3 15:12 3 12
W L D W W
11 9 3 3 3 7:9 -2 12
L W D L D
12 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
D L D W L
13 9 2 4 3 8:12 -4 10
L D D W D
14 9 2 3 4 7:11 -4 9
D D L L D
15 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L W L L D
16 9 2 1 6 6:12 -6 7
L W L L D
17 9 1 2 6 5:15 -10 5
L D D L L
18 9 1 1 7 7:22 -15 4
L L L D L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation