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MEXICO › LIGA MX
23.04.2026 01:00
Estadio Alfonso Lastras
Referee: M. Quintero
Atletico San Luis
Match Timeline
Santos Laguna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Andrés Sánchez
Atletico San Luis
🟨
37'
Aldo Lopez
Santos Laguna
🟨
40'
Joao Pedro
Atletico San Luis
🔄
46'
Lucas Esteves ↔ L. Flores
Atletico San Luis
🟨
50'
Roberto Meraz
Atletico San Luis
🔄
57'
R. Meraz ↔ A. Duarte
Atletico San Luis
VAR
67'
Eduardo Águila
Atletico San Luis
🟨
69'
Eduardo Águila
Atletico San Luis
🔄
70'
A. Lopez ↔ L. Gomez
Santos Laguna
🔄
76'
D. Rodriguez ↔ S. Munoz
Atletico San Luis
🔄
77'
E. Aguila ↔ Juanpe
Atletico San Luis
🔄
81'
E. Bullaude ↔ C. Dajome
Santos Laguna
VAR
85'
Joao Pedro
Atletico San Luis
⚽
86'
L. Flores · Assist: Joao Pedro Galvao
Atletico San Luis
🔄
90'
O. Macias ↔ J. Dominguez
Atletico San Luis
🔄
90+3'
K. Picon ↔ J. Abella
Santos Laguna
🔄
90+3'
F. Villalba ↔ R. Sordo
Santos Laguna
🔄
90+3'
S. Mariscal Murra ↔ T. Jimenez
Santos Laguna
⚽
90'
Joao Pedro Galvao · Assist: A. Duarte
Atletico San Luis

Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atletico San Luis Win 46.8%
Draw 25.3%
Santos Laguna Win 27.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico San Luis1.66
Santos Laguna1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
WWDLW
46 GF / 54 GA
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
WLDWL
39 GF / 64 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.69
Average Goals Conceded
2
21
BTTS Yes
20
19
Over 2.5
23
3.75
Shots on Goal
4.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 32 matches
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 32 matches
Atletico San Luis Statistic Santos Laguna
9 Wins 8
4 Draws 5
19 Losses 19
46 Goals For 39
54 Goals Against 64
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.69 Avg Goals Conceded 2
21 BTTS Yes 20
27 Over 1.5 25
19 Over 2.5 23
10 Over 3.5 14
6 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 7
3.75 Shots On Goal 4.03
11.03 Total Shots 10.88
4.38 Corners 4.31
47.3% Ball Possession 44.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Santos Laguna. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico San Luis expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Santos Laguna in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Santos Laguna having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Santos Laguna arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Atletico San Luis Analysis

Atletico San Luis sit 15 with 15 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 21:23 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Joao Pedro Galvao (24 goals), S. Salles-Lamonge (5 goals), Juan Manuel Sanabria (4 goals), with creative support from S. Salles-Lamonge (6 assists), Juan Manuel Sanabria (5 assists), S. Perez (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Santos Laguna Analysis

With 9 points from 15 games and a place of 18, Santos Laguna still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 17:35, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Dajome (5 goals), L. Di Yorio (5 goals), B. Amione (4 goals), with creative support from José Abella (5 assists), Ramiro Sordo (4 assists), L. Di Yorio (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Atletico San Luis won 6 times, Santos Laguna won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:21 from Atletico San Luis's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.7%)
Predicted formations: Atletico San Luis 4-2-3-1 / Santos Laguna 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Atletico San Luis wins 6, draws 2, Santos Laguna wins 6

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2 17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3 17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6 17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7 17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8 17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9 17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10 17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11 17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12 17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13 17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14 17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15 17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16 17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17 17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18 17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs