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GERMANY › 2. BUNDESLIGA
03.05.2026 11:30
Avnet-Arena
Referee: J. Wienefeld
1. FC Magdeburg
Match Timeline
Hertha BSC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
Herbert Bockhorn
1. FC Magdeburg
🟨
42'
Deyovaisio Zeefuik
Hertha BSC
🔄
54'
D. Zeefuik ↔ J. Eitschberger
Hertha BSC
⚽
61'
L. Ulrich
1. FC Magdeburg
🟨
68'
Kevin Sessa
Hertha BSC
🔄
68'
L. Schuler ↔ S. Gronning
Hertha BSC
🔄
69'
F. Reese ↔ M. Krattenmacher
Hertha BSC
🔄
69'
K. Sessa ↔ D. Demme
Hertha BSC
🟨
72'
Diego Demme
Hertha BSC
🔄
73'
A. Nollenberger ↔ P. Hercher
1. FC Magdeburg
🟨
78'
Josip Brekalo
Hertha BSC
🟨
81'
Jean Hugonet
1. FC Magdeburg
🔄
82'
L. Ulrich ↔ D. Stalmach
1. FC Magdeburg
🔄
85'
M. Winkler ↔ J. Dudziak
Hertha BSC
🔄
88'
M. Zukowski ↔ A. Holmstrom
1. FC Magdeburg
🔄
88'
B. Atik ↔ R. Tachie
1. FC Magdeburg
🔄
89'
L. Musonda ↔ N. Pesch
1. FC Magdeburg

1. FC Magdeburg vs Hertha BSC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
1. FC Magdeburg Win 32.4%
Draw 0%
Hertha BSC Win 67.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
1. FC Magdeburg1.39
Hertha BSC1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg
WWDLW
48 GF / 56 GA
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC
WLDWL
44 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
15
BTTS Yes
14
17
Over 2.5
14
5.42
Shots on Goal
4.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 31 matches
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 31 matches
1. FC Magdeburg Statistic Hertha BSC
10 Wins 13
3 Draws 9
18 Losses 9
48 Goals For 44
56 Goals Against 36
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
15 BTTS Yes 14
25 Over 1.5 21
17 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 12
11 Failed To Score 8
5.42 Shots On Goal 4.42
15.77 Total Shots 12.68
5.39 Corners 4.52
54.7% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Hertha BSC's more proactive style and 1. FC Magdeburg's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Hertha BSC. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Hertha BSC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 48 points while 1. FC Magdeburg sit 16 on 33, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with 1. FC Magdeburg expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Hertha BSC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hertha BSC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

1. FC Magdeburg Analysis

1. FC Magdeburg approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 33 points from 31 matches. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 3 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 48:56 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Mateusz Żukowski (17 goals), Barış Atik (5 goals), R. Ghrieb (4 goals), with creative support from Barış Atik (11 assists), Mateusz Żukowski (3 assists), L. Ulrich (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hertha BSC Analysis

So far, Hertha BSC have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 48 points from 31 matches. The record of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 44:36 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Reese (10 goals), L. Schuler (8 goals), M. Winkler (6 goals), with creative support from F. Reese (12 assists), M. Winkler (6 assists), M. Cuisance (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg won 3 times, Hertha BSC won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:11 from 1. FC Magdeburg's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: 1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3 / Hertha BSC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: 1. FC Magdeburg wins 3, draws 1, Hertha BSC wins 2

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2 34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3 34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4 34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5 34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6 34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7 34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8 34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9 34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11 34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13 34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L
Promotion - Bundesliga
Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion)
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga