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01.05.2026 19:00
Ibercaja Estadio
Referee: M. Perez
Zaragoza
Match Timeline
Granada CF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Manu Trigueros
Granada CF
🟨
32'
Martín Aguirregabiria
Zaragoza
VAR
44'
Rubén Alcaraz
Granada CF
🟨
45+3'
Loïc Williams
Granada CF
🟨
57'
Rubén Alcaraz
Granada CF
🟨
59'
Yussif Saidu
Zaragoza
🟨
62'
Álvaro Lemos
Granada CF
🔄
65'
A. Lemos ↔ P. Casadesus
Granada CF
🔄
65'
M. Trigueros ↔ I. Gonzalez
Granada CF
🔄
71'
K. Kodro ↔ M. A. Cuenca
Zaragoza
🔄
71'
F. Moyano ↔ R. Guti
Zaragoza
🔄
71'
Y. Saidu ↔ M. Mensah
Zaragoza
🔄
77'
J. M. Arnaiz ↔ A. Sola
Granada CF
🟨
85'
Pablo Insua
Zaragoza
🔄
86'
Francho ↔ H. Pinilla
Zaragoza
🔄
89'
P. Aleman ↔ S. Ruiz
Granada CF
🟨
90+1'
Álex Sola
Granada CF
🟥
90+4'
Jorge Pascual
Granada CF
⚽
90'
A. Sola · Assist: P. Saenz
Granada CF

Zaragoza vs Granada CF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 20.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 19.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
75.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
20.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
19.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Zaragoza Win 30.3%
Draw 24.1%
Granada CF Win 45.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zaragoza1.08
Granada CF1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zaragoza Zaragoza
WWDLW
36 GF / 52 GA
Granada CF Granada CF
WLDWL
54 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
20
BTTS Yes
22
14
Over 2.5
18
3.66
Shots on Goal
3.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zaragoza Zaragoza 39 matches
Granada CF Granada CF 40 matches
Zaragoza Statistic Granada CF
9 Wins 13
11 Draws 12
19 Losses 15
36 Goals For 54
52 Goals Against 53
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
20 BTTS Yes 22
25 Over 1.5 27
14 Over 2.5 18
8 Over 3.5 13
8 Clean Sheets 12
14 Failed To Score 11
3.66 Shots On Goal 3.75
12.26 Total Shots 11.58
4.76 Corners 4.13
47.3% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Zaragoza expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Granada CF in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Granada CF having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Granada CF. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Zaragoza Analysis

Zaragoza sit 21 with 35 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 11 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 33:50, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Gomez (9 goals), K. Kodro (7 goals), J. El Yamiq (2 goals), with creative support from D. Tasende (4 assists), Martín Aguirregabiria (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Granada CF Analysis

Granada CF sit 14 with 45 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 12 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 47:49 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Jorge Pascual (8 goals), J. M. Arnaiz (7 goals), P. Aleman (6 goals), with creative support from S. Faye (6 assists), P. Aleman (4 assists), A. Sola (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Zaragoza won 4 times, Granada CF won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:18 from Zaragoza's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.9%)
Predicted formations: Zaragoza 4-2-3-1 / Granada CF 4-3-3
H2H summary: Zaragoza wins 4, draws 4, Granada CF wins 7

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation