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12.10.2026 12:00

Valladolid vs Albacete Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Valladolid Win 85.7%
Draw 6.2%
Albacete Win 8.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valladolid1.48
Albacete0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valladolid Valladolid
WWDLW
19 GF / 15 GA
Albacete Albacete
WLDWL
11 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
0.79
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
6
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
7
4.38
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valladolid Valladolid 13 matches
Albacete Albacete 14 matches
Valladolid Statistic Albacete
5 Wins 2
4 Draws 3
4 Losses 9
19 Goals For 11
15 Goals Against 21
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
6 BTTS Yes 9
9 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 4
4.38 Shots On Goal 4.25
12.13 Total Shots 13.25
3.63 Corners 5.25
48.5% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Albacete. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Valladolid expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Albacete in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Albacete having the stronger overall control. Valladolid arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 14 with 9 points compared to Albacete in 22 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Albacete arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Valladolid Analysis

With 9 points from 8 games and a place of 14, Valladolid still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 8:11, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Juanmi Latasa (2 goals), J. Ponceau (1 goals), Víctor Fernández (1 goals), with creative support from J. Ponceau (2 assists), Víctor Fernández (2 assists), Adrian Arnuncio (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Albacete Analysis

Albacete sit 22 with 1 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 5:15, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through San Bartolomé (1 goals), Alex Rubio (1 goals), Róber (1 goals), with creative support from Mario Soberón (1 assists), Agus Medina (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Valladolid won 1 times, Albacete won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:9 from Valladolid's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
Predicted formations: Valladolid 4-1-3-2 / Albacete 4-4-2
H2H summary: Valladolid wins 1, draws 1, Albacete wins 4

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 18:7 11 21
W W W W W
2 8 6 2 0 15:3 12 20
D W W W W
3 8 6 0 2 13:5 8 18
W W W W W
4 8 4 2 2 14:8 6 14
D W W L W
5 8 4 2 2 8:3 5 14
D L W W D
6 8 4 2 2 12:9 3 14
L W W W D
7 8 3 4 1 8:6 2 13
D D W L W
8 8 4 1 3 8:8 0 13
W L W L L
9 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W L L D L
10 8 3 2 3 8:8 0 11
L W L W D
11 8 3 2 3 12:13 -1 11
D L L W D
12 8 3 2 3 10:12 -2 11
L D L W D
13 8 3 2 3 6:11 -5 11
L L W L D
14 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
D W D L W
15 8 3 0 5 13:18 -5 9
W L W L L
16 8 2 2 4 11:13 -2 8
L L L W D
17 8 2 2 4 8:10 -2 8
W L L W D
18 8 2 2 4 10:14 -4 8
L D L L W
19 8 1 4 3 11:10 1 7
W D L L L
20 8 2 1 5 12:15 -3 7
D W L L L
21 8 1 2 5 7:18 -11 5
D W D L L
22 8 0 1 7 5:15 -10 1
L L L D L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation