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WORLD › FRIENDLIES
07.10.2026 02:30
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Referee: Filip Dujic, Canada
Mexico
Match Timeline
Chile
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
44'
J. Gallardo
Mexico
🔄
46'
R. Echeverria ↔ V. Mendez
Chile
⚽
54'
M. Gutierrez · Assist: G. Tapia
Chile
🔄
64'
J. Gallardo ↔ J. Vasquez
Mexico
🔄
64'
D. Espinoza ↔ J. Sanchez
Mexico
🔄
64'
R. Alvarado ↔ I. Violante
Mexico
🔄
64'
E. Lira ↔ D. Garcia
Mexico
🔄
64'
A. Gonzalez ↔ S. Gimenez
Mexico
⚽
65'
V. Pizarro · Assist: D. Osorio
Chile
🔄
72'
G. Berterame ↔ H. Camberos
Mexico
🔄
72'
O. Vargas ↔ S. Sandoval
Mexico
🟨
73'
E. del Villar
Mexico
🟨
78'
D. Osorio
Chile
🔄
78'
M. Gutierrez ↔ C. Perez
Chile
🔄
82'
A. Fidalgo ↔ J. Marquez
Mexico
🔄
84'
D. Osorio ↔ B. Brereton Diaz
Chile
🔄
85'
V. Pizarro ↔ M. Sepulveda
Chile
🔄
90+2'
G. Tapia ↔ L. Cepeda
Chile
🔄
90+2'
G. Suazo ↔ I. Lichnovsky
Chile

Mexico vs Chile Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.57
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.90
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.9%
1.57 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.91 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.90 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
74.6%
1.13 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Mexico Win 68.9%
Draw 6.3%
Chile Win 24.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mexico1.81
Chile1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mexico Mexico
WWDLW
27 GF / 10 GA
Chile Chile
WLDWL
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.63
Average Goals Conceded
2
5
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
3
4.06
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mexico Mexico 16 matches
Chile Chile 4 matches
Mexico Statistic Chile
10 Wins 1
4 Draws 0
2 Losses 3
27 Goals For 5
10 Goals Against 8
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Avg Goals Conceded 2
5 BTTS Yes 3
11 Over 1.5 3
5 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 1
10 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
4.06 Shots On Goal 4.25
12.19 Total Shots 9.5
4.44 Corners 5
55.1% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Mexico won 1 times, Chile won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:14 from Mexico's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
Predicted formations: Mexico 4-3-3 / Chile 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Mexico wins 1, draws 2, Chile wins 2