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01.05.2026 23:30
York Lions Stadium
Referee: S. Noshinravani
York United
Match Timeline
Atlético Ottawa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
4'
Noah Abatneh
Atlético Ottawa
VAR
9'
Ballou Tabla
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
27'
Luke Singh
York United
⚽
50'
T. Skublak · Assist: J. Cordova
York United
⚽
55'
T. Skublak
York United
🔄
58'
J. Coulanges ↔ G. Antinoro
Atlético Ottawa
⚽
61'
L. Cloutier
York United
⚽
63'
J. Altobelli · Assist: S. Jimoh
York United
🔄
65'
J. Castro ↔ D. Aguilar
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
65'
J. Villal ↔ R. Khoury
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
68'
T. Skublak ↔ S. Gonzales
York United
🔄
69'
L. Accettola ↔ J. Costa
York United
🔄
70'
L. Cloutier ↔ S. Kozlovskiy
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
70'
E. Garcia ↔ K. Habibullah
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
73'
J. Altobelli ↔ G. Bitar
York United
🔄
73'
S. Jimoh ↔ O. Bassett
York United
🟨
80'
Manny Aparicio
Atlético Ottawa
⚽
84'
W. Timoteo · Assist: M. Aparicio
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
86'
S. Yeates ↔ A. Umanzor
York United
🟨
89'
Daniel Aguilar
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
90+5'
Sergei Kozlovskiy
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
90+2'
Gabriel Antinoro
Atlético Ottawa
VAR
90+4'
Sergei Kozlovskiy
Atlético Ottawa

York United vs Atlético Ottawa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 41.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 45.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
41.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
45.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
York United Win 55.5%
Draw 25%
Atlético Ottawa Win 19.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
York United1.62
Atlético Ottawa0.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
York United York United
WWDLW
5 GF / 3 GA
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
WLDWL
3 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
0.5
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
2.17
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
1.67
Shots on Goal
1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

York United York United 4 matches
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 6 matches
York United Statistic Atlético Ottawa
2 Wins 1
2 Draws 1
0 Losses 4
5 Goals For 3
3 Goals Against 13
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 2.17
2 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 5
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 3
1.67 Shots On Goal 1
2.67 Total Shots 3.33
1.33 Corners 1.17
15.3% Ball Possession 39.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, York United won 5 times, Atlético Ottawa won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:22 from York United's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (80.5%)
Predicted formations: York United 3-4-3 / Atlético Ottawa 3-4-3
H2H summary: York United wins 5, draws 6, Atlético Ottawa wins 4

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 5 4 51:19 32 53
L L W D W
2 25 15 6 4 41:20 21 51
W D D D W
3 26 13 4 9 40:41 -1 43
W W W L L
4 26 9 7 10 37:35 2 34
D D D D L
5 26 9 5 12 40:47 -7 32
D W W L W
6 25 7 6 12 38:42 -4 27
D L W W L
7 25 6 9 10 40:56 -16 27
L W L D L
8 26 2 8 16 30:57 -27 14
L L L W D