BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Barradao
Referee: F. Fernandes de Lima
Vitoria
Match Timeline
Internacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
29'
Rene · Assist: Erick
Vitoria
🟨
35'
Caique Gonçalves
Vitoria
🟨
38'
Bruno Gomes
Internacional
🟨
45+3'
Alexandro Bernabei
Internacional
🔄
46'
Caique Goncalves ↔ Edenilson
Vitoria
🔄
64'
Matheus Bahia ↔ Bruno Tabata
Internacional
🔄
67'
Juninho ↔ Victor Gabriel
Internacional
🔄
71'
Matheuzinho ↔ D. Tarzia
Vitoria
🔄
71'
Jamerson ↔ Ze Breno
Vitoria
🔄
75'
Rene ↔ Renato Kayzer
Vitoria
🔄
78'
Bruno Gomes ↔ Alan Patrick
Internacional
🔄
78'
Bruno Henrique ↔ Thiago Maia
Internacional
🔄
78'
R. Borre ↔ Allex
Internacional
🔄
80'
Erick ↔ Marinho
Vitoria
🟨
89'
Alexandro Bernabei
Internacional
🟥
89'
Alexandro Bernabei
Internacional
🟨
90+1'
Cacá
Vitoria
90'
D. Tarzia · Assist: Luan Candido
Vitoria

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vitoria Win 59.4%
Draw 0%
Internacional Win 40.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitoria1.14
Internacional1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vitoria Vitoria
WWDLW
18 GF / 22 GA
Internacional Internacional
WLDWL
20 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
7
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
6
3.87
Shots on Goal
5.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vitoria Vitoria 15 matches
Internacional Internacional 16 matches
Vitoria Statistic Internacional
5 Wins 5
4 Draws 6
6 Losses 5
18 Goals For 20
22 Goals Against 17
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
7 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 4
3.87 Shots On Goal 5.31
10.47 Total Shots 15.31
3.87 Corners 7.63
44.1% Ball Possession 50.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Internacional's more proactive style and Vitoria's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Internacional. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vitoria expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Internacional in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Internacional having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Vitoria Analysis

Vitoria sit 14 with 19 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 18:22 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Renato Kayzer (3 goals), Rene (3 goals), Erick (2 goals), with creative support from Erick (3 assists), Gabriel Baralhas (3 assists), Renato Kayzer (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Internacional Analysis

Internacional sit 11 with 21 points after 16 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 20:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Alexandro Bernabei (4 goals), J. Carbonero (4 goals), Alan Patrick (3 goals), with creative support from J. Carbonero (3 assists), Alerrandro (3 assists), Vitinho (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vitoria won 8 times, Internacional won 7 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:15 from Vitoria's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Vitoria 4-3-3 / Internacional 4-4-2
Missing players: Vitoria 10, Internacional 4
H2H summary: Vitoria wins 8, draws 0, Internacional wins 7
Stats
Vitoria Vitoria
Internacional Internacional
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
11
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
7
4 Corner Kicks 6
15 Fouls 18
0 Offsides 1
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Goal 2
1 Shots off Goal 11
3 Blocked Shots 7
7 Shots insidebox 12
1 Shots outsidebox 8
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
306 Total passes 375
236 Passes accurate 291
0.76 expected_goals 2.01
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Vitoria
Formation
Internacional
Lucas Arcanjo
Lucas Arcanjo
Nathan Mendes
Nathan Mendes
Caca
Caca
Luan Candido
🎯
Luan Candido
Jamerson
Jamerson
Baralhas
Baralhas
Caique Goncalves
Caique Goncalves
Emmanuel Martinez
Emmanuel Martinez
Erick
🎯
Erick
Rene
Rene
Matheuzinho
Matheuzinho
Anthoni
Anthoni
Bruno Gomes
Bruno Gomes
G. Mercado
G. Mercado
Juninho
Juninho
Matheus Bahia
Matheus Bahia
Vitinho
Vitinho
Bruno Henrique
Bruno Henrique
R. Villagra
R. Villagra
A. Bernabei
A. Bernabei
R. Borre
R. Borre
Alerrandro
Alerrandro
Vitoria 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Lucas Arcanjo
G
45
Nathan Mendes
D
25
Caca
🟨 90+1'
D
36
Luan Candido
🎯 90'
D
83
Jamerson
↓ 71'
D
44
Baralhas
M
95
Caique Goncalves
↓ 46' 🟨 35'
M
6
Emmanuel Martinez
M
33
Erick
🎯 29' ↓ 80'
F
91
Rene
⚽ 29' ↓ 75'
F
10
Matheuzinho
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
22
Gabriel
G
11
Osvaldo
F
7
Marinho
↑ 80'
F
8
Ronald Lopes
M
20
Lucas Silva
F
31
R. Lopez
F
79
Renato Kayzer
↑ 75'
F
2
Claudinho
D
12
D. Tarzia
⚽ 90' ↑ 71'
D
55
Ze Breno
↑ 71'
M
26
Edenilson
↑ 46'
M
70
C. Farias
M
Internacional 4-4-2
Starting XI
12
Anthoni
G
15
Bruno Gomes
↓ 78' 🟨 38'
D
25
G. Mercado
D
18
Juninho
↓ 67'
D
6
Matheus Bahia
↓ 64'
D
28
Vitinho
M
8
Bruno Henrique
↓ 78'
M
5
R. Villagra
M
26
A. Bernabei
🟨 45+3' 🟨 89' 🟥 89'
M
19
R. Borre
↓ 78'
F
9
Alerrandro
F
Substitutes
22
Kauan Jesus
G
10
Alan Patrick
↑ 78'
M
29
Thiago Maia
↑ 78'
M
17
Bruno Tabata
↑ 64'
F
35
B. Aguirre
D
33
B. Arhin
M
53
L. F. de Morais Francisco
D
4
F. Torres
D
41
Victor Gabriel
↑ 67'
D
11
Kayky
F
31
Allex
↑ 78'
M
49
Joao Bezerra
F
Last matches: Vitoria
30.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Santos
1
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Gremio
0
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
1
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Palmeiras
1
5
L
28.01.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
2
0
W
Last matches: Internacional
31.05.26
Ser
Internacional
RB Bragantino
1
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
4
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Coritiba
2
2
D
03.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Fluminense
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Botafogo
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Mirassol
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Gremio
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Corinthians
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Santos
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Bahia
0
1
L
11.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
25.02.26
Ser
Internacional
Remo
1
1
D
13.02.26
Ser
Internacional
Palmeiras
1
3
L
04.02.26
Ser
Internacional
Flamengo
1
1
D
28.01.26
Ser
Internacional
Atletico Paranaense
0
1
L
H2H: Vitoria vs Internacional
23.05.26
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
05.11.25
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
1
0
W
12.07.25
H2H
Internacional
Vitoria
1
0
L
29.09.24
H2H
Internacional
Vitoria
3
1
L
16.06.24
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
2
1
W
11.06.21
H2H
Internacional
Vitoria
1
3
W
03.06.21
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
0
1
L
30.09.18
H2H
Internacional
Vitoria
2
1
L
30.05.18
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
2
3
L
19.04.18
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
1
0
W
11.04.18
H2H
Internacional
Vitoria
2
1
L
16.09.16
H2H
Internacional
Vitoria
0
1
W
05.06.16
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
1
0
W
11.09.14
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
19.04.14
H2H
Internacional
Vitoria
1
0
L
Last matches: Vitoria
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
1
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
2
0
W
H2H at home: Vitoria
23.05.26
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
05.11.25
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
1
0
W
16.06.24
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
2
1
W
03.06.21
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
0
1
L
30.05.18
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
2
3
L
19.04.18
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
1
0
W
05.06.16
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
1
0
W
11.09.14
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
Last matches: Internacional
31.05.26
Ser
Internacional
RB Bragantino
1
3
L
09.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Coritiba
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Botafogo
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Corinthians
1
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Santos
2
1
W
11.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
25.02.26
Ser
Internacional
Remo
1
1
D
04.02.26
Ser
Internacional
Flamengo
1
1
D
H2H away: Internacional
23.05.26
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
L
05.11.25
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
1
0
L
16.06.24
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
2
1
L
03.06.21
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
0
1
W
30.05.18
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
2
3
W
19.04.18
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
1
0
L
05.06.16
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
1
0
L
11.09.14
H2H
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 5 1 30:13 17 41
?
2 17 10 4 3 31:16 15 34
?
3 18 9 4 5 28:23 5 31
?
4 18 9 3 6 24:18 6 30
?
5 18 9 2 7 25:19 6 29
?
6 17 7 5 5 25:23 2 26
?
7 18 7 5 6 24:24 0 26
?
8 18 7 4 7 23:20 3 25
?
9 18 7 3 8 22:23 -1 24
?
10 18 6 6 6 18:19 -1 24
?
11 18 6 6 6 24:28 -4 24
?
12 17 6 4 7 31:31 0 22
?
13 17 6 4 7 21:25 -4 22
?
14 18 5 6 7 21:22 -1 21
?
15 18 5 6 7 26:29 -3 21
?
16 18 5 6 7 20:23 -3 21
?
17 18 5 5 8 22:29 -7 20
?
18 18 4 6 8 21:29 -8 18
?
19 17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
?
20 17 1 6 10 17:33 -16 9
?
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Vitoria 10 missing
-
Dudu
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT
-
Edu
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
R. Ramos
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
H. Pedro
Questionable Hand Injury
OUT
-
Riccieli
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
Camutanga
Missing Fixture Broken Leg
OUT
-
Matheusinho
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
A. Cantalapiedra
Missing Fixture Personal Reasons
OUT
-
Ze Vitor
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
Anderson
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
Internacional 4 missing
-
S. Rochet
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
A. Rodriguez
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Paulinho Paula
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
J. Carbonero
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT