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GERMANY › 3. LIGA
16.05.2026 11:30
Sportclub Arena
Referee: M. Wilke
Verl
Match Timeline
TSV 1860 München
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
36'
B. Taz
Verl
🟨
54'
Kilian Jakob
TSV 1860 München
🔄
59'
M. Worner ↔ T. Knost
Verl
🔄
59'
Y. Otto ↔ J. Stark
Verl
⚽
60'
O. Mhamdi · Assist: J. Eze
Verl
🔄
70'
L. Fassmann ↔ S. Voet
TSV 1860 München
🔄
70'
P. Hobsch ↔ M. Wolfram
TSV 1860 München
🔄
70'
K. Jakob ↔ C. Lippmann
TSV 1860 München
🔄
74'
F. Wessig ↔ A. Japaur
Verl
🔄
74'
J. Eze ↔ D. Waidner
Verl
🟨
76'
Berkan Taz
Verl
⚽
78'
J. Stark · Assist: B. Taz
Verl
🔄
79'
T. Danhof ↔ M. Schroter
TSV 1860 München
🔄
81'
O. Mhamdi ↔ E. Bamba
Verl
🔄
84'
S. Althaus ↔ M. Christiansen
TSV 1860 München
🟨
89'
Sean Dulic
TSV 1860 München

Verl vs TSV 1860 München Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
81.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Verl Win 79.8%
Draw 0%
TSV 1860 München Win 20.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Verl1.82
TSV 1860 München1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Verl Verl
WWDLW
79 GF / 48 GA
TSV 1860 München TSV 1860 München
WLDWL
54 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
2.14
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
25
BTTS Yes
23
27
Over 2.5
21
4.74
Shots on Goal
3.61

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Verl Verl 37 matches
TSV 1860 München TSV 1860 München 37 matches
Verl Statistic TSV 1860 München
17 Wins 15
10 Draws 11
10 Losses 11
79 Goals For 54
48 Goals Against 50
2.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
25 BTTS Yes 23
33 Over 1.5 31
27 Over 2.5 21
18 Over 3.5 12
9 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 7
4.74 Shots On Goal 3.61
13.06 Total Shots 9.39
5.48 Corners 4.1
57.4% Ball Possession 39.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward TSV 1860 München. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Verl expected to line up in 4-4-2 and TSV 1860 München in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward TSV 1860 München having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Verl Analysis

So far, Verl have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 61 points from 37 matches. The record of 17 wins, 10 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 79:48 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Arweiler (16 goals), B. Taz (14 goals), A. Besio (11 goals), with creative support from B. Taz (18 assists), O. Mhamdi (8 assists), A. Besio (7 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

TSV 1860 München Analysis

So far, TSV 1860 München have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 56 points from 37 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses, while the 54:50 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on S. Haugen (16 goals), Thore Jacobsen (7 goals), P. Hobsch (6 goals), with creative support from K. Volland (7 assists), D. Philipp (4 assists), T. Deniz (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Verl won 4 times, TSV 1860 München won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:12 from Verl's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Verl 4-4-2 / TSV 1860 München 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Verl wins 4, draws 3, TSV 1860 München wins 5

Standings

3. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2 38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3 38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4 38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5 38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6
Verl Home
38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7 38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8 38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9 38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12 38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation